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Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Picks, Predictions: Betting Value on Over/Under

Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Picks, Predictions: Betting Value on Over/Under article feature image
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Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images. Pictured: William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

  • The Red Wings and Leafs square off in Toronto for their fourth meeting of the campaign.
  • These two teams have scored 37 total goals in their three meetings this season.
  • Is Jonny Lazarus deviating from the over in this one?

Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Odds

Red Wings Odds +350
Maple Leafs Odds -450
Over/Under 6.5 (-120 / +100)
Time 7 p.m. ET
TV ESPN+
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NHL Odds here.

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings have had some crazy games this season, as they have scored a combined 37 goals in only three matchups.

The Red Wings don’t have much left to play for while the Leafs are gearing up for what will most likely be a first-round series against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Can the Red Wings Slow Down the Leafs?

The Detroit Red Wings are coming off of a shutout win against the New Jersey Devils, but they have struggled mightily this season in their own end against the Leafs.

In three meetings vs. the Leafs this year, the Red Wings have allowed 22 goals against.

The Red Wings have been one of the worst defensive teams all season. Right now, they are ranked as the second-to-worst, allowing 3.8 goals against per game.

They are also getting subpar goaltending.

Thomas Greiss is expected to get the nod for the Red Wings in this contest, and he has not been at his best this season. Greiss is just 10-15-1 with a 3.66 GAA and a .891 save percentage. In his last start against the Penguins, he allowed five goals against on 23 total shots for a .783 save percentage.

The Red Wings aren’t much better on the offensive side of the puck this season, but they have found some success against the Maple Leafs. In those three prior meetings, they have scored a combined 15 goals, so we should expect to see at least a couple on Tuesday.

It’s been a really difficult season for Detroit, but luckily for it, the campaign has almost concluded.


Maple Leafs Looking to Finish Strong

There is a ton of pressure on the Maple Leafs heading into this postseason, and they are doing everything in their power to gain some momentum leading into the next chapter of their season.

They are coming off of a huge come-from-behind win on the road in Washington D.C., and they will be fired up to be back at home against the Red Wings.

Toronto has been so explosive offensively this season, especially in its meetings against Detroit. The Leafs have scored a total of 22 goals in three games against the Red Wings.

Toronto is currently the second-best offensive team in the league (scoring 3.8 goals per game), but it’s not so great at keeping pucks out, as it also allow 3.13 goals against per game.

Toronto’s goaltending situation has been interesting lately, as Jack Campbell and Erik Kallgren have been splitting the time in the blue paint.

That being said, Campbell is the expected starter for this one, and he has been solid in his previous three starts. In those three games, he has only allowed seven goals against, but he has been inconsistent this season, so that does not seem sustainable.

Detroit’s offense isn’t too much to handle, but it has been able to find ways to score against the Leafs all year.

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Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Pick

Even though the total looks pretty scary at 7, the only thing that happens when these two teams meet is offensive production.

I don’t think either team has such incredible goaltending, and the Toronto offense can be very scary against a weak opponent like the Red Wings.

Detroit will be playing its third game in four nights, so the Leafs should be able to out skate it and generate a ton of offense.

I see this game having a ton of goal-scoring, so I really like the over.

Pick: Over 7 -115

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