Senators vs Predators Odds: NHL Preview, Prediction

Senators vs Predators Odds: NHL Preview, Prediction article feature image
Credit:

Andre Ringuette/NHLI via Getty Images. Pictured: Brady Tkachuk #7 of the Ottawa Senators and Ryan O’Reilly #90 of the Nashville Predators

Senators vs. Predators Odds

Tuesday, Feb. 27
8 p.m. ET
ESPN+
Senators Odds+120
Predators Odds-140
Over / Under
6.5
-115 / -105
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NHL odds here.

Here's everything you need to know about the Ottawa Senators vs. Nashville Predators on Tuesday, February 27 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.

For the second straight night, the Senators get to play spoiler versus a team desperately trying to hang onto their playoff spot. Ottawa failed its mission on Night No. 1 against the Washington Capitals, but they'll be hoping for a better result on Tuesday versus the Predators.

They might not be playing on consecutive nights, but the Preds are dealing with their own scheduling constraints ahead of this inter-conference clash. On Sunday, Nashville concluded a wildly successful five-game road trip in which they went a perfect 5-0-0. However, they ended their roadie with back-to-back games on Saturday and Sunday, meaning this will be the Predators' third game in four nights.

This one could get sloppy as both teams compete on condensed schedules and with their respective analytics shortcomings. Let's look over the Senators vs. Predators odds and make a betting prediction.


Ottawa Senators

Ottawa absolutely mailed it in against the Caps on Monday night. The Sens put forward their worst offensive effort since Jan. 25, attempting just seven high-danger and 19 scoring chances for 1.55 expected goals-for at 5-on-5. As you may have inferred, that means that the team has otherwise been performing quite well over its recent sample.

After months of underperforming, the Senators have finally awoken from their early-season slumber. Before Monday night's egg, Ottawa had attempted 10 or more high-danger chances in nine of its past 10. Over that stretch, the Sens were averaging 10.4 high-danger and 23.5 scoring opportunities per game.

Still, we're waiting for the Sens output to catch up with their improved production. Despite the increased productivity, the Sens' output has gone down more recently. Using that same 10-game sample, Ottawa's shooting percentage decreased to 8.7% with just 2.1 goals per game at 5-on-5. That's down from their regular season averages of 9.6% and 2.3, respectively.

The other factor we're considering is Ottawa's goaltending usage. Anton Forsberg was shelled for four goals on 10 shots in the first, giving way to Joonas Korpisalo. The Finnish netminder hardly fared any better, allowing two goals on 10 shots in two periods of action.

That leaves the Sens without a fresh netminder as they compete on the second consecutive night with travel.

Sports betting is coming to the Tar Heel State! Stay up to date on the latest news about the North Carolina sports betting apps that are expected to be live at launch.


Nashville Predators

The Predators should enjoy this winning streak while it lasts; it appears to be coming from an unsustainable place.

Over the team's past seven games, Nashville has been severely outplayed in four. Cumulatively, the Predators have posted a 44.9% expected goals-for rating, but somehow that doesn't do their ineffective play justice.

The Preds have never been an elite offensive team, but their recent play has been downright awful. Using that same seven-game sample, they've been held to nine or fewer high-danger chances in all but one of those contests. Worse, they're averaging a minuscule 7.4 quality chances per game.

Scoring chances have also been scant with Nashville averaging 21.0 per game. But keep in mind they've been held to 14 or fewer in two of their last three.

Unlike their counterparts on Tuesday night, the Predators have seen a surge in scoring despite a decrease in production. Collectively, the playoff hopefuls are scoring on 10.0% of shots at 5-on-5, an improvement on their 8.0% shooting percentage on the season. They've also tallied four or more goals in five straight even though we've seen a more pronounced dip in production.

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Senators vs. Predators

Betting Pick & Prediction

The Predators' short betting price directly reflects the lack of confidence in their chances to sustain their current streak. Nashville was outplayed by some ineffective teams, failing to generate any meaningful offense.

Conversely, Tuesday's affair sets up as a bounce-back spot for the Senators. The Sens are coming off one of their worst performances of 2024, and even with a quick turnaround, they should be ready to compete against the Preds.

We're using this spot to back the Senators at anything better than +110 while expecting them to prevail in a high-scoring affair.

Picks: Senators (+120 at bet365) | Over 6.5 (+102 at BetRivers)

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