NHL Odds Thursday: 3 Moneyline & Over/Under Picks, +496 Parlay

If you're into situational betting, you'll love what PRO has on tap for NHL Thursday. Backtested models in Bet Labs flashed with three picks to consider across the hefty, 14-game slate. Two picks are moneyline trends, while a separate over/under pattern popped with an edge. Below, I'll cover which two teams are in favorable spots based on past data, plus an under-the-radar pick on a total. Also, all three picks form a +496 NHL parlay bettors can instantly tail. Let's check Thursday's data-backed predictions. NHL Odds Thursday: 3 Moneyline & Over/Under Picks, +496 Parlay Islanders vs. Penguins, Rangers vs. Sabres and Stars vs. Jets are the three games highlighted by advanced systems in Bet Labs. Islanders vs. Penguins NHL Model Pick Thursday Odds: Islanders -125; O/U 5.5 First up is a moneyline play on the Islanders in their season opener against the Penguins, who played on Tuesday. The "Early Season Favorite" model shades an edge to the Islanders. During the first five games of the season favorites attracting sharp action (like the Islanders), against teams that did not make the postseason (like the Penguins) boast a cool 63% win rate since we started tracking. This trend was developed by Action Director of Research Evan Abrams. At -125, the Islanders are cheap. [betlabsembed systemid="1511505" systemname="Evan Abrams – Early Season Favorites" leaguename="nhl" filters="%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20a%20Conference%20game%22%2C%22Did%20the%20team%20make%20the%20postseason%20last%20year%3A%20N%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Favorite%22%2C%22the%20moneyline%20change%20from%20open%20to%20close%20is%20between%20-100%20and%2015%22%2C%22the%20team's%20game%20number%20is%20between%201%20and%205%22%5D%7D" amountwon="$3,043" record="233-136-0" winpct="63%"][/betlabsembed] PRO Systems Pick: Islanders Moneyline Rangers vs. Sabres NHL Model Pick Thursday Odds: Rangers -115; O/U 6.5 Next up is a play on the Rangers vs. Sabres under 6.5, courtesy of Abrams' "Early High Profile Unders" angle. When the public heavily bets high-totals early in the NHL season, they've typically resulted in lower-scoring games than the market anticipates. This model looks for games in October lined 6 or higher, with extreme action on the over. That's exactly the case for Rangers vs. Sabres on Thursday: 72% of the tickets we log are on the over 6.5. Buyer beware. [betlabsembed systemid="1511536" systemname="Evan Abrams – Early High Profile Unders" leaguename="nhl" filters="%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%2C%22the%20number%20of%20bets%20compared%20to%20the%20day's%20average%20is%20between%201%20and%20100%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%206%20and%20100%22%2C%22the%20over%2Funder%20%25%20is%20between%200%25%20and%2051%25%22%2C%22the%20game%20was%20played%20in%20October%22%5D%7D" amountwon="$3,190" record="260-216-26" winpct="55%"][/betlabsembed] PRO Systems Pick: Rangers vs. Sabres Under 6.5 Stars vs. Jets NHL Model Pick Thursday Odds: Stars -118; O/U 5.5 Finally, the "Early Pedigree Favorites" system favors the Stars moneyline Thursday night. Here's a fun stat: If two teams from last year's postseason meet in the first three games of the NHL regular season, the favorite has won 61% of the time. Dallas is another cheap option to bet tailing PRO data. PRO Systems Pick: Stars Moneyline Combining the Islanders moneyline, Rangers vs. Sabres under and Stars moneyline produces a +496 parlay at bet365. [quickslipbasic bookname="bet365" booklogo="https://assets.actionnetwork.com/676387_Bet365@1x.png" image="https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/10/betslip-36.png" buttontext="Instantly Tail Thursday's Parlay!" buttonlink="https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1906845271&deeplinkId[1]=ML1906797992&deeplinkId[2]=ML1906874254&context=action-articles"][/quickslipbasic] _InlineAdBlock

NHL Odds Thursday: 3 Moneyline & Over/Under Picks, +496 Parlay

NHL Odds Thursday: 3 Moneyline & Over/Under Picks, +496 Parlay

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