Sharp Bettors Hitting Bruins vs. Hurricanes Game 3
Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Boston Bruins left wing Jake DeBrusk (74) scores on Carolina Hurricanes goaltender Petr Mrazek (34)
- Sharp action is hitting tonight's Game 3 between the Bruins and Hurricanes in Carolina (8 p.m. ET, NBCSN).
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals and betting market percentages help reveal the play wiseguys are making.
Things have gone pretty poorly for the Hurricanes through two games of the Eastern Conference Finals. After being outscored 11-4 overall in Games 1 and 2, Carolina will head back home down two games to none.
Sportsbooks varied in how they opened the moneyline for Game 3. While a small number were favoring the B’s, most had either the Hurricanes listed as slight favorites or a relatively even line.
As you could probably guess, that’s drawn a majority of bets to the hot hands, as the Bruins have made up for 56% of tickets placed on the matchup.
Despite that backing though, it’s been the Hurricanes who have moved up to a consensus -120 across the market.
That reverse line movement is generally a dead giveaway of sharp action hitting the less popular side. Why else would oddsmakers want to give the majority of their players a better number?
Well, one reason is that not all bets are for the same amount. In this case, the 44% of bettors taking Carolina have generated 69% of actual money wagered. That certainly creates a monetary liability for sportsbooks, but perhaps more importantly, it shows that the Canes are drawing bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps.
Confirming that wiseguys have been backing the home side, two Sports Insights Bet Signals have been triggered on Carolina at -110 and -115 in the form of steam moves.
Steam refers to a heavy dose of bets hitting the same side over a short period of time that causes an industry-wide line shift, and is a strong indication of sharp action.