The Philadelphia Flyers (22-14-8) and Pittsburgh Penguins (21-14-10) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. EST at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pa. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN.
The Penguins are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 5.5 (-137o / +114u). The Penguins are a -148 favorite to win outright, while the Flyers are +125 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Flyers vs. Penguins predictions and NHL picks.
Flyers vs. Penguins Odds, Pick
| Flyers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -204 | 5.5 -137o / +114u | +125 |
| Penguins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +164 | 5.5 -137o / +114u | -148 |
Flyers vs. Penguins Spread: Penguins -1.5 (+164 ), Flyers +1.5 (-204)
Flyers vs. Penguins Over/Under: 5.5 (-137o / +114u)
Flyers vs. Penguins Moneyline: Flyers +125, Penguins -148
Flyers vs. Penguins Preview
This system captures a reliable rebound pattern among NHL favorites who enter early-season games on a losing streak.
In the first few months of the season, public perception often overreacts to short-term struggles, undervaluing teams that are fundamentally stronger. When a favorite has dropped several straight games, oddsmakers may slightly discount their price, despite the fact that motivation and urgency are heightened as they look to avoid an extended skid. These early-season conditions — when fatigue is minimal, and team morale can shift quickly — create buy-low opportunities on quality teams favored in the -155 to -1000 moneyline range.
This combination of public doubt, regained focus, and early-season volatility makes backing short-term struggling favorites a profitable contrarian setup from October through January.
It's also worth noting that this system has generated a 13% ROI this season, cashing 64% of its picks (28-16).
Flyers vs. Penguins Prediction
Best Bet: Penguins Moneyline
