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Lightning vs Avalanche Prediction, Picks, NHL Odds for Friday, October 23

Lightning vs Avalanche Prediction, Picks, NHL Odds for Friday, October 23 article feature image
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Oct 20, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Nikita Kucherov (86) looks on against the Vegas Golden Knights in the second period at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Candice Ward-Imagn Images

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (7-2-0) and Colorado Avalanche (5-4-1) will meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 9:00 p.m. EDT at Ball Arena in Denver, Colo. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.

The Avalanche are favored at 54 cents on the moneyline, with the Lightning at 47 cents to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 6.5 (48 cents / 53 cents).

Let's get into our Lightning vs. Avalanche predictions and NHL picks.


Lightning vs. Avalanche Prediction

  • Pick: Over 6.5

Our Tampa Bay vs. Colorado trade is on the Over, currently available at Polymarket. For all of your NHL trades, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NHL odds page.

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Lightning vs Avalanche Odds

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Lightning vs. Avalanche Pick

Simply put, these are two of the best offenses in hockey. Entering this matchup, both teams rank in the top 10 in goals scored per game, shots on goal per game and expected goals for per 60 minutes.

However, goaltending has not been as strong for either side. The Lightning's Andrei Vasilevskiy enters this contest with a save percentage below .900.

Meanwhile, Mackenzie Blackwood has allowed three or more goals in three of his past five starts for the Avalanche. Blackwood is 2-3 over that stretch with an .878 save percentage.

It's doubtful he turns things around against this difficult Lightning offense. In his past three meetings with Tampa Bay, Blackwood is 0-2 with a troubling .815 save percentage and 5.65 goals-against average.

Tony's Trade: Over 6.5 (48 Cents, Polymarket)



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