The Tampa Bay Lightning (26-13-3) and Philadelphia Flyers (22-12-8) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. EST at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pa. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Lightning are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 6.5 (+110o / -130u). The Lightning are a -170 favorite to win outright, while the Flyers are +142 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Lightning vs. Flyers predictions and NHL picks.
Lightning vs. Flyers Odds, Pick
| Lightning Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +154 | 6.5 110o / -130u | -170 |
| Flyers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -185 | 6.5 110o / -130u | +142 |
Lightning vs. Flyers Spread: Lightning -1.5 (+154), Flyers +1.5 (-185)
Lightning vs. Flyers Over/Under: 6.5 (+110o / -130u)
Lightning vs. Flyers Moneyline: Lightning -170, Flyers +142
Lightning vs. Flyers Preview
The Flyers are coming off a 2-1 home loss to the Maple Leafs and will now host the Lightning.
Our Bet Labs "Fade Home Dog off Loss at Home" system picks up on that defeat and the market's confidence in Philadelphia, recommending the Tampa Bay moneyline as tonight's pick.
The Lightning are having a great season and are one of the best road teams, with a 14-4-3 record. Plus, they are currently on an eight-game winning streak.
Back Tampa Bay to keep on rolling tonight.
Lightning vs. Flyers Prediction
This NHL moneyline betting system focuses on situations where a team is at home as an underdog after dropping its last game in that same building by a narrow margin.
While it might appear that home ice and recent motivation create value, these spots often expose deeper issues.
A team priced as a dog at home after a recent home defeat usually signals a lack of market trust in their roster, goaltending, or form, and the emotional lift of playing at home does not offset those gaps.
Oddsmakers expect the losing trend to continue, and public bettors often overestimate bounce-back potential, making it more profitable to fade these clubs despite their home setting.
Best Bet: Lightning ML -170 (DraftKings)
