Thursday NHL Player Props: 5 PrizePicks Plays, Including Auston Matthews & Mark Scheifele
Mark Blinch/NHLI via Getty Images. Pictured: Auston Matthews.
We have a stacked nine-game slate of hockey with an abundance of options to pick through on PrizePicks. Below, I give out five PrizePicks flex plays for Thursday, focusing in particular on the Jets-Maple Leafs game.
For those unfamiliar with PrizePicks flex plays, getting 5/5 correct registers a 10x payout, 4/5 correct registers a 2x payout, and 3/5 correct registers a 0.4x payout.
You can also take these plays and do smaller parlays with just two or three props for lower payouts.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
Thursday NHL Props
Eric Comrie Over 3.5 Goals Allowed
The Central Division's sixth-place Winnipeg Jets travel to Toronto to take on the Atlantic Division's third-place Maple Leafs. Comrie will have a tall task in front of him as he tries to slow down one of the most explosive offenses in hockey.
This season, Toronto ranks third in the league in five-on-five expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF) and are averaging 3.71 goals scored per game over their last seven contests. Winnipeg's defense could leave Comrie in a vulnerable position as they rank just 27th in the league in five-on-five expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA).
I would not play this if the total jumps from 3.5 to 4.
Auston Matthews Over 0.5 Goals
This obviously has some correlation with the Comrie play, which is something I always look for in creating my PrizePicks plays. If Comrie allows four or more goals, then it is safe to assume Matthews will notch at least one of those.
The NHL's leading goal scorer has been on fire recently as he has scored 12 goals over his last 10 games. Matthews is obviously not afraid to shoot the puck as he averages 5.3 shots on goal over those 10 games, so he will give us plenty of chances to hit this.
I would not play this if the total jumps from 0.5 to 1.
Erik Kallgren Over 2.5 Goals Allowed
This is probably my favorite play on the board as the Jets continue to boast one of the most underrated offenses in the league. This season, Winnipeg ranks 11th in five-on-five expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF) and are averaging 3.78 goals scored per game over their last nine contests.
Despite his hot start in the beginning of March, Kallgren has come back down to earth as he has now allowed three or more goals in each of his last three appearances in net. In that stretch, Kallgren possesses a mere 0.855 save percentage.
I would not play this if the total jumps from 2.5 to 3.
Mark Scheifele Over 0.5 Assists
Again, It is important to look for correlation in crafting winning PrizePacks stacks, and this correlates well with Kallgren allowing at least three goals. Scheifele centers the first line and is a part of the first power play unit so he should get his fair share of chances to find the scoresheet.
The scoresheet has been a consistent home for Scheifele recently as he has registered 11 assists over his last 12 games. In a game where I expect the Jets to score at least three times, Scheifele should be able to record at least one assist.
I would not play this if the total jumps from 0.5 to 1.
Martin Necas Over 0.5 Points
The Metropolitan Division's first-place Carolina Hurricanes host the Atlantic Division's eighth-place Montreal Canadiens. Carolina averages four goals scored per game against Montreal this season and could be in store for another high-scoring outing.
Jake Allen is the projected starting goaltender for Montreal and is coming off of a loss to Florida in which he allowed six goals. If Allen has another shaky start, Necas could definitely find the scoresheet as he has been playing some great hockey recently.
Necas has registered six points over his last five games and will play this game on the second line and second power play unit, so his opportunities will continue to be there.
I would not play this if the total jumps from 0.5 to 1.
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