The Utah Mammoth (15-15-3) and Pittsburgh Penguins (14-8-8) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 3:00 p.m. EST at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pa. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Utah are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 6.5 (-100o / -120u). The Utah are a -135 favorite to win outright, while the Penguins are +115 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Utah vs. Penguins predictions and NHL picks.
Utah vs. Penguins Odds, Pick
| Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +176 | 6.5 -100o / -120u | -135 |
| Penguins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -218 | 6.5 -100o / -120u | +115 |
Utah vs. Penguins Spread: Utah -1.5 (+176), Penguins +1.5 (-218)
Utah vs. Penguins Over/Under: 6.5 (-100o / -120u)
Utah vs. Penguins Moneyline: Utah -135, Penguins +115
Utah vs. Penguins Preview
The "Fade Home Dog off Loss at Home" system in NHL moneyline betting focuses on situations where a team is at home as an underdog after dropping its previous game in that same building by a narrow margin.
While it may appear that home ice and recent motivation create value, these spots often expose deeper issues. A team priced as a home underdog following a recent home loss typically signals a lack of market trust in its roster, goaltending or overall form.
The emotional lift of playing at home often fails to offset those gaps. Oddsmakers anticipate the losing trend to continue, while public bettors tend to overestimate bounce-back potential. As a result, fading these home underdogs frequently presents value despite their familiar setting.
Utah vs. Penguins Prediction
Overall, the system stands at 891-577 (61%) with a 3% ROI all-time, and it's off to a 25-16 (61%) start this season with a 5% ROI.
Best Bet: Utah Mammoth Moneyline
