The Vegas Golden Knights (31-24-14) and Dallas Stars (43-15-10) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. EDT at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will be broadcast live on NHL Network.
The Stars are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 5.5 (-125o / +105u). The Stars are a -141 favorite to win outright, while the Golden Knights are +120 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Golden Knights vs. Stars predictions and NHL picks.
Golden Knights vs. Stars Odds, Pick
| Golden Knights Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -227 | 5.5 -125o / +105u | +120 |
| Stars Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +185 | 5.5 -125o / +105u | -141 |
- Golden Knights vs. Stars Spread: Stars -1.5 (+185 ), Golden Knights +1.5 (-227)
- Golden Knights vs. Stars Over/Under: 5.5 (-125o / +105u)
- Golden Knights vs. Stars Moneyline: Golden Knights +120, Stars -141
Golden Knights vs. Stars Preview
Vegas Golden Knights
The Golden Knights enter this contest amid a three-game skid, as the offense has gone completely stagnant. They have scored just one goal over those three games, highlighting a season-long concern.
Vegas has struggled to generate high-danger scoring chances, ranking in the bottom half of the league in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60). To make matters worse, goaltending is unlikely to bail the team out Sunday.
Because the Golden Knights are on the second half of a back-to-back, they are expected to turn to backup goaltender Adin Hill. He has struggled this season, posting an .869 save percentage across 21 starts.
Dallas Stars
Hill’s struggles are in danger of continuing against the Stars, a team he has not beaten in his past four meetings. In those starts, Hill has a .857 save percentage and a 3.49 goals-against average.
Dallas boasts one of the league’s top offenses. Entering this matchup, the Stars rank eighth in goals scored per game, second in power-play percentage and first in shooting percentage.
That production is supported by their ability to create high-danger scoring chances, as Dallas ranks 11th in xGF/60.
The Stars hold the edge over Vegas in each of those categories.
Golden Knights vs. Stars Prediction
Dallas not only has the stronger offense, but it also holds the goaltending edge, with Casey DeSmith expected to start. Through 25 appearances this season, DeSmith is 14-5-5 with a .907 save percentage and a 2.36 goals-against average.
The Stars also benefit from home ice, where they are 22-8-4 this season. Vegas, meanwhile, carries a sub-.500 record on the road.
Pick: Stars moneyline (-138 at Kalshi | Play to -145)
