• TB owns the 3rd Worst 1Q RB Receiving DVOA as they’ve allowed 6 different RBs to have 10+ 1Q Rec Yds so far: ✅ CMC — 17 ✅ Saquon — 14 ✅ Breece — 10 ✅ Chubb — 27 ✅ Marks — 37 ✅ Bijan — 67 ❌ SEA RBs — 0 • Gibbs has 3+ 1Q Rec Yds in 4 straight games. He also has 1+ Target in 5/6 games this season — when seeing 1+ target he has 3+ 1Q Rec Yds in 11/L12 games • I expect DET to win this game & be playing from ahead, so I prefer the 1Q angle, especially since Gibbs usually gets the opening drive or 2.

Kittle did not have a single catch last week & I’d expect that to change on national TE day. HOU has the Worst 1Q TE DVOA this season, and has allowed 7 different TEs to go over their 1Q lines in the L5 games — Barner 7, Arroyo 35, Kolar 10, Andrews 10, Strange 16, Long 7, Otton 12 Kittle has 9+ 1Q Rec Yds in 9/L11 games. He’s had 2+ targets in 5/L7 1Qs.

DAL has said they want to use him similarly to Sabonis as an offensive hub. AD’s L4 Games vs OKC: 7 Ast on 7 potentials 4 Ast on 5 potentials 5 Ast on 9 potentials 7 Ast on 13 potentials Most of his assists are on 3s too which is perfect for this matchup.