Brett Kavanaugh Now Massive Favorite to Be Confirmed Following FBI Report

Oct 04, 2018 1:42 PM EDT
  • Thursday's FBI Report found no corroborating evidence of sexual misconduct against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh.
  • Kavanaugh's confirmation odds have quickly skyrocketed across the betting market.
  • Oddsmakers now give Kavanaugh a 94.1% chance to be confirmed (-1,600 odds).

On Thursday morning, the FBI wrapped up its week-long investigation into sexual assault allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh.

According to the White House, the report found no corroborating evidence of sexual misconduct by Kavanaugh — which all but guarantees that his nomination will move forward and that he will be confirmed.

Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has scheduled a procedural vote on Kavanaugh’s nomination for Friday, with a final up or down vote coming as soon as this weekend.

Following the release of the FBI report, Kavanaugh’s confirmation odds have skyrocketed across the betting market.

Here are the updated odds as of 12:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 4.

Will Kavanaugh be confirmed or rejected to the Supreme Court? (Heritage)

  • Confirmed:  94.1% chance (-1600)
  • Rejected:  10% chance (+900)

Will Kavanaugh be confirmed as the next Supreme Court Justice? (Bovada)

  • Yes:  88.2% chance (-750)
  • No:  20% chance (+400)

Will Kavanaugh be confirmed on or before October 31, 2018? (Bookmaker)

  • Yes:  80.5% chance (-413)
  • No:  24.5% chance (+308)

Will Kavanaugh be confirmed? (Paddy Power)

  • Yes:  85.7% chance (-600)
  • No:  22.2% chance (+350)

At PredictIt, Kavanaugh is now trading at 89 cents to be confirmed, an all-time high. He is expected to receive either 53 or 52 votes in the Senate (he needs 50 to be confirmed).

 

Smarkets is now giving Kavanaugh an 86.96% chance to be confirmed, an increase of more than 15% since yesterday.

Credit:

Photo credit via USA Today

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