New York City 2021 Mayoral Election Odds: Andrew Yang an Overwhelming Early Favorite

New York City 2021 Mayoral Election Odds: Andrew Yang an Overwhelming Early Favorite article feature image
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Photo credit: Andy Kiss/Getty Images. Pictured: Andrew Yang

NYC 2021 Mayoral Election Odds

Candidate Odds Implied Probability
Andrew Yang -250 57.0%
Eric Adams +500 13.3%
Scott Stringer +900 8.0%
Maya Wiley +1200 6.2%
Ray McGuire +1400 5.4%
Kathryn Garcia +1600 4.7%
Shaun Donovan +2500 3.0%
Max Rose +10000 0.8%
Curtis Sliwa +10000 0.8%
Donald Trump +10000 0.8%

Odds as of Friday, April 4, and via European sportsbook BetfairIf you’re new to betting, Andrew Yang’s -250 odds mean a $250 bet would net $100 if he wins. Convert odds using our Betting Odds Calculator. Also note that the implied probabilities above do not include the tax the book charges.


While there won’t be another presidential election until 2024, politics is still at the forefront of minds — especially in New York City, which will elect a new mayor this year.

The race is always a popular one even nationally, as the NYC metro has a population of nearly 19 million Americans — bigger itself than all but 11 states. And it’s getting even more buzz this year thanks to a big name candidate at the top of the field in Andrew Yang, businessman turned 2020 presidential candidate who now has his eyes set on the Big Apple.

According to odds at European sportsbook Betfair, the race is Yang’s to lose: He’s over 50% to win in the crowded field. No one else is even at 15% at this point in the race.

Second behind Yang is Eric Adams, who currently serves as the Brooklyn Borough President, a role he’s held since 2014. Third in odds is Scott Stringer, who currently serves as the New York City Comptroller; he previously was part of the New York State Assembly and was the Borough President of Manhattan.

The Democratic and Republican primaries for the race will take place on June 22, followed by a general election on Nov. 2. The winner will succeed current mayor Bill de Blasio, who is ineligible to run again due to term limits — NYC mayors can serve two consecutive four-year terms but must take a four-year break afterwards before running again.

It’s definitely a high-profile position, as highlighted by the three recent mayors who have all run for President of the United States in de Blasio, Michael Bloomberg and Rudy Giuliani. Yang is seemingly taking the opposite route, running for NYC mayor after a presidential bid.

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