Major banks are racing to match federal contributions to "Trump Accounts" as prediction markets show a 92% probability that Trump will promote the program during Wednesday's remarks, with traders pricing the outcome at $0.92 on Kalshi.
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What Will Trump Say About Trump Accounts Today?
JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America announced Wednesday they will match the government's $1,000 contribution to new children's retirement savings accounts for eligible employees. The so-called "Trump accounts" are part of a pilot program that deposits money from the U.S. Treasury into tax-advantaged accounts for children born between 2025 and 2028. Market data shows traders are betting heavily on Trump's promotional messaging, with 11,274 contracts traded and the high-confidence market maintaining steady odds between 92%-94%.
The banking giants join a growing list of major corporations pledging matching contributions, including Charles Schwab, Robinhood, SoFi, Uber, Charter Communications, and BNY Mellon. JPMorgan, which employs more than 190,000 people in the United States, made its announcement as President Trump prepares to join Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and corporate leaders at an all-day summit in Washington.
Prediction markets reveal additional betting activity around Trump's specific messaging strategy. Traders see a 77% chance (priced at $0.77) of certain promotional language, while other messaging themes show more moderate probabilities around 41%-59% across multiple contract types. The heavy trading volume of over 6,000 contracts in several markets indicates significant investor interest in how Trump frames the program.
The timing coincides with the start of tax season, as the Trump administration urges families to sign up for Trump Accounts when filing their 2025 returns. Treasury officials indicated additional corporate pledges and contribution announcements would be made throughout Wednesday's summit. The federal program represents a key component of Trump's signature tax and spending legislation, with the government committing to fund accounts for every eligible baby born through 2028.
