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2022 World Cup Group A Odds, Betting Analysis: Netherlands, Senegal Highlight Draw

2022 World Cup Group A Odds, Betting Analysis: Netherlands, Senegal Highlight Draw article feature image

ANP via Getty Images. Pictured: Netherlands standout Memphis Depay.

Group A is headlined by the Netherlands, which should be the overwhelming favorite to win and advance to the knockout phase of the World Cup.

African champion Senegal got a fantastic draw and should be able to make it out of this group as well.

As for Qatar, even though it’s the tournament host, it’s going to be really tough for the nation to get by the top two teams here. And Ecuador has a mountain to climb to get out of this group.

Group A Odds/World Rankings

*Odds via FanDuel

Qatar +2400 48th | 51st
Ecuador +380 34th | 46th
Senegal +370 19th | 20nd
Netherlands -160 8th | 10th

The Favorite: Netherlands

The Dutch will be the overwhelming favorites to win Group A and have real shot at winning the World Cup given the talent on the roster. The Dutch did bow out in the Round of 16 at Euro 2020 this summer after a player picked up a red card against the Czech Republic, but they did win a tough World Cup qualifying group with Turkey and Norway.

The Dutch are deserving favorites to win Group A.

The Dark Horse: Senegal

Senegal is one of my favorite longshots to win the World Cup and will be a really difficult matchup for the Netherlands in the opening game in the group stage.

Since the start of the Africa of Nations Cup, Senegal has a +7 xGDiff in eight matches and its defense is only conceding 0.55 xG per match. It helps when you have one of the best center backs in the world in Kalidou Koulibaly and one of the planet’s best goalkeepers in Chelsea star Edouard Mendy. 

Watch out for Senegal to shock the world.

Potential Shock Elimination: Qatar

Even though it’s playing on home soil, it’s a massive step up in competition for Qatar, which is going to have a really tough time competing with the talent on Netherlands and Senegal.

2022 FIFA World Cup Odds

*Odds via BetMGM Before Draw

France +550
Brazil +550
England +700
Spain +750
Germany +900
Argentina +1000
Belgium +1100
Portugal +1200
Netherlands +1600
Denmark +2800
Uruguay +4000
Croatia +5000
Serbia +6600
Qatar +6600
USA +8000
Mexico +8000
Switzerland +8000
Poland +8000
Senegal +8000
Iran +10000
Ecuador +12500
Wales +15000
Ukraine +15000
Japan +15000
Peru +15000
Morocco +15000
Ghana +15000
Cameroon +15000
South Korea +15000
Saudi Arabia +15000
Canada +15000
Australia +25000
Scotland +25000
Costa Rica +25000
Tunisia +25000
United Arab Emirates +25000
New Zealand +50000

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