Bayern Munich (2-0-1) and Flamengo (2-1-0) will face off today at 4:00 p.m. EDT at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Fla.
Let's get into our Bayern vs. Flamengo prediction.
Bayern is favored at a -140 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-160o / +110u) goals.
Bayern vs. Flamengo Prediction
Pick: Michael Olise to score or assist (+100).
Our Bayern vs. Flamengo best bet is on Bayern's Michael Olise to score or assist in this game.
Bayern vs. Flamengo Odds
| Bayern Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-0.5 -150 | 2.5 -125o / 100u | -135 |
| Flamengo Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+0.5 +105 | 2.5 -125o / 100u | +380 |
Bayern vs. Flamengo Picks
Leg 1: Michael Olise to score or assist (+100)
Leg 2: Both Teams To Score – Yes (-143)
Leg 3: Bayern over 5.5 shots on goal (-111)
Michael Olise heads into this match with three goals and two assists to his name from his two appearances at the Club World Cup. The France international has been in fine form and was allowed a welcome rest against Benfica in their final match.
Flamengo is in excellent form. They’re unbeaten in their last 11 games and have scored in each of their past seven. The odds reflect a 58% implied probability of both teams finding the net, and our in-house tool, BETSiE, forecasts Flamengo to score 0.93 goals.
Bayern Munich has shown some defensive vulnerabilities. They conceded twice each against Inter Milan and Borussia Dortmund, and three times against Leipzig recently.
Despite finishing second in the group, Bayern’s attacking numbers remain elite. The German champions average 8.3 shots on target per game in the group stage, ranking third among all teams in the competition.
The likely return of Olise, Harry Kane, and Kingsley Coman to the lineup after some rest only bolsters Bayern’s firepower. With over 5.5 shots on goal landing in two of three group games and an average that surpasses this line, backing them to clear that number again looks like solid value.
Bayern vs. Flamengo Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Bayern | Draw | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1% | 19.5% | 17.4% |
Projected Total Goals
| Bayern | Total Goals | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 1.96 | 2.89 | 0.93 |
Bayern vs. Flamengo Betting Analysis
The bookmakers have little doubt about which team will advance to the quarter-finals and assign Vincent Kompany’s men a 58% chance of victory against Flamengo.
The Brazilian side has impressed at the tournament so far, but is not fancied by the bookmakers. Could that be a way in for bettors? Flamengo is undefeated, topped their group, and have shown they can battle with Europe’s best after that 3-1 win over Chelsea.
Bayern enters the fixture as the favorites, accompanied by a -0.75 Asian Handicap.
Regarding Olise, there’s no need to hype him up. He provided 29 contributions in 34 Bundesliga appearances last campaign, as well as five goals in the Champions League.
Bayern vs. Flamengo Projected Starting Lineups
Bayern
Neuer; Guerreiro, Stanisic, Tah, Laimer, Goretzka, Kimmich, Olise, Gnabry, Coman, Kane.
Flamengo
Rossi; Varela, Pereira, Ortiz, Lucas, Pulgar, Jorginho, de Arrascaeta, Gerson, Araujo, Henrique.
