Liverpool (11-8-6) and Sunderland AFC (9-7-9) will face off today at 3:15 p.m. EST.
Liverpool is favored at a -134 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-125o / -104u) goals.
Let's get into my Liverpool vs. Sunderland prediction.
Liverpool vs. Sunderland Prediction
Pick: Sunderland +0.75 Asian Handicap & Draw
My Liverpool vs. Sunderland best bet is for Sunderland to avoid a loss by more than one goal.
Liverpool vs. Sunderland Odds
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -145 | 2.5 -125o / -104u | -134 |
| Sunderland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -100 | 2.5 -125o / -104u | +357 |
Liverpool vs. Sunderland Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Sunderland +0.75 Asian Handicap
Leg 2: Draw
Sunderland enters this contest as the only Premier League team yet to lose a match at home during the 2025/26 campaign. The Stadium of Light has become a fortress, where the hosts have secured seven wins and five draws. This incredible record makes the +0.75 Asian handicap an extremely attractive proposition. This wager provides a full win if Sunderland wins or draws, and a half-win if they lose by a single goal. Critically, this bet would have cashed in all 12 of Sunderland’s home games this season.
Liverpool, conversely, has significant issues on the road. The champions have managed just four wins in 12 away matches, a return worse than teams like Everton and Crystal Palace. Their defense has been porous away from Anfield, with 21 goals conceded compared to just 19 scored. With only one victory in their last five Premier League outings overall, Liverpool’s current form does not justify their status as a heavy favorite against such a formidable home side. The value clearly lies with the underdog in this Liverpool vs. Sunderland pick.
Liverpool vs. Sunderland Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 53.4% | 24.7% | 21.9% |
Projected Total Goals
| Liverpool | Total Goals | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.41 | 0.88 |
Liverpool vs. Sunderland Betting Analysis
This season presents a fascinating role reversal. Liverpool, the expected title contenders, find themselves in a dogfight just to qualify for European competition. A rash of new signings has yet to fully integrate, and a lack of consistency continues to plague the team. On the other side, Sunderland was a popular relegation pick but has shattered expectations. Their top-half position is built on exceptional home performances, where their defensive structure ranks among the league’s best.
At the Stadium of Light, Sunderland concedes a mere 0.75 goals per game. Manager Régis Le Bris has implemented a disciplined system that frustrates top attacks, a style that Liverpool manager Arne Slot has admitted his team struggles against. While Liverpool possesses world-class attackers, Sunderland’s organization could severely limit their space and opportunities.
The head-to-head history also supports the idea of a tight contest. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 1-1 draw at Anfield. In fact, three of the last five meetings between these clubs have finished level. Given Sunderland’s impeccable home record and Liverpool’s recent struggles to close out matches, another stalemate appears to be a very plausible outcome.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Liverpool vs Sunderland picks.
