Premier League Betting Prop Picks & Best Bets: Our 3 Favorite Plays, Including Southampton vs. Leeds (Aug. 13-15)
Michael Regan/Getty Images. Pictured: Chelsea standout Raheem Sterling.
We are about to embark on the second week of the Premier League season, which was chock full of excitement in the opening set of fixtures.
And to give our dedicated Action Network friends and readers even more betting angles, we’re debuting our favorite player props on the docket.
Action Network handicappers Jeremy Pond and Nick Hennion have you covered with the top prop wagers they’re targeting on the latest slate of matches. Their selections are coming from the following contests:
- Southampton vs. Leeds | Saturday, 10 a.m. ET
- Chelsea vs. Spurs | Sunday, 11:30 a.m. ET
- Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace | Monday, 3 p.m. ET
So, check out below to see where our analysts have found betting value ahead of the upcoming games in the English top flight.
Premier League Prop Plays
Southampton vs. Leeds
|Over/Under||2.5 (-140 / +100)|
|Day | Time||Saturday | 10 a.m. ET|
|How To Watch||Peacock Premium|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.|
The Pick: Southampton — Team Total Over 1.5 Goals (+100) via BetMGM
Analysis: Since joining the Premier League, Leeds’ road defense has proven horrific.
Last year, it conceded the second-most expected goals away from Elland Road in league play. The season prior, it conceded the most road xG overall.
Although Southampton’s offense was unimpressive against Tottenham, the host generated a combined four xG last season against Leeds, including 2.3 xG on home soil at St. Mary’s Stadium
Although I’m generally low on Southampton’s attack for the season as a whole, manager Ralph Hasenhüttl’s squad should encounter little resistance against a Leeds defense that allowed 1.84 xG against Wolves last week.
Chelsea vs. Spurs
|Over/Under||2.5 (-115 / -115)|
|Day | Time||Sunday | 11:30 a.m. ET|
|How To Watch||USA Network | fuboTV|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.|
The Pick: Goal Bands — 2 to 3 (+100) via DraftKings
Analysis: It didn’t take long for us to get a heavyweight showdown right out of the gate.
Chelsea, which is coming off a season-opening 2-0 road victory at Everton, looked great on debut. On the other side, a slow start that led to a goal deficit didn’t stop Tottenham from throttling Southampton in a 4-1 home rout.
Bottom line, we’re going to get a gem of a match at Stamford Bridge and the value bet I’ve located comes via the Goal Bands (2-3) at plus-money odds. Eight of the last 11 confrontations between these stalwarts have finished between two and three goals, including three of the last four matches.
That said, it wouldn’t surprise me whatsoever if we saw a scoreline that was something like 1-1, 2-0 or 2-1, with the potential winner coming from either side of the pitch. Give me anything at +100 odds or better with this prop.
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace
|Crystal Palace Odds||+1500|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-178 / +146)|
|Day | Time||Monday | 3 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||USA Network | fuboTV|
|Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.|
The Pick: Liverpool — 7 or More Shots on Target (-130) via FanDuel
Analysis: This number might seem like it’s a tad high, considering the fact Liverpool could only muster four shots on target in its lackluster 2-2 draw at Fulham last time out.
However, when you combine how important this fixture is for the Reds with their recent history against the Eagles, this is the right side to jump on.
Liverpool recorded seven and 10 shots on target in the last two meetings with Crystal Palace, with Mohamed Salah and his teammates scoring a combined seven goals in the process.
To say the club has been dominant — 17 combined goals in the last five games, including a 7-0 shellacking of the Eagles — would be a gross understatement. So, let’s ride the historical data and see if we can cash this prop.
How would you rate this article?
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.