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Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Prediction, Picks, Odds for Champions League Matchday 5

Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Prediction, Picks, Odds for Champions League Matchday 5 article feature image
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Pictured: Kylian Mbappé. (Photo by Florencia Tan Jun – UEFA/UEFA via Getty Images)

Real Madrid (3-1) and Olympiacos (0-2-2) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus, Greece.

Real Madrid is favored at a -223 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-200o / +162u) goals.

Let's get into my Real Madrid vs. Olympiacos prediction.

Real Madrid vs. Olympiacos Prediction

Picks: Real Madrid To Win & Both Teams To Score
My Real Madrid vs. Olympiacos best bet is a parlay backing Real Madrid to win the game outright and both teams to score.

Real Madrid vs. Olympiacos Odds

Real Madrid Logo
Wednesday, Nov 26
3 p.m. ET
Olympiacos Logo
Real Madrid Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
2.5
-200o / 162u
-223
Olympiacos Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
2.5
-200o / 162u
+475
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute SOCCER odds here.
bet365 Logo

Real Madrid vs. Olympiacos Picks, Parlay

Leg 1: Real Madrid to Win
Leg 2: Both Teams to Score

Olympiacos enters this match with impressive domestic form and currently leads the Greek Super League title race. However, the Thrylos have failed to do the same in Europe, where they managed just two points from four games.

We have seen moments of intensity from the Greek champions, especially at home. Under Jose Luis Mendilibar, Olympiacos likes to press high, relying on quick forward combinations to score.

However, this approach often lacks the edge against teams that hold possession well. Real Madrid’s average of 59.3% possession should be a direct counter to this playstyle.

However, recent games have shown some issues with Xabi Alonso’s team, resulting in three winless games in a row. Most recently, Los Blancos tied 2-2 with Elche.

The Spaniards are far from ideal in Europe, and have often allowed opposition to take shots. Currently, Real sits in 4th place based on Saves per match. This might be a compliment to Thibaut Courtois, but it is indicative of the defensive lapses that allow such chances.

Given the slight dip in form and internal struggles, we are siding with the home team to score. Real simply has too much quality to lose this game even away from home, but could easily concede.

For Olympiacos, the X factor will be Ayoub El Kaabi. The Moroccan has scored nine goals domestically and accumulated the highest xG in Europe for his team. With an average of 0.45 xG per game, he is the most relevant part of the Greeks’ attack.

Playbook

Real Madrid vs. Olympiacos Projections

Projected Chance of Winning

Real MadridDrawOlympiacos
69.9%18.1%12%

Projected Total Goals

Real MadridTotal GoalsOlympiacos
2.122.930.80

Real Madrid vs. Olympiacos Betting Analysis

Real Madrid visits Greek champions Olympiacos, knowing that a victory would strengthen its position in the top eight and increase its chances of avoiding the playoffs.

Los Blancos were defeated in their last Champions League away match against Liverpool, but secured a 5-0 win at Kairat. Olympiacos, managed by Spaniard Jose Luis Mendilibar, has only two points from draws at home against Pafos (0-0) and PSV (1-1).

The hosts have already suffered a heavy 6-1 defeat to Barcelona this year, but they have remained unbeaten in their last six matches since then.

Real Madrid, meanwhile, dropped two points in La Liga with a 2-2 draw at Elche on Sunday night, although it remains at the top of the table.

According to the latest Olympiacos vs Real Madrid odds, the fifteen-time European champions are expected to have little trouble winning in Piraeus.

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