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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Korda French Open Odds, Preview, Prediction (May 27)

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Korda French Open Odds, Preview, Prediction (May 27) article feature image
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John Berry/Getty. Pictured: Carlos Alcaraz and Sebatian Korda.

  • Carlos Alcaraz is a solid favorite against American Sebastian Korda.
  • Korda holds the distinction of being the only man to beat Alcaraz on clay this year.
  • Kenny Ducey breaks down where the value lies in this one.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Korda Odds

Alcaraz Odds -650
Korda Odds +450
Total 34.5 (-120 / +100)
Time 2:45 p.m. ET
Odds via DraftKings. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

There’s only been one man to defeat Carlos Alcaraz on the clay this year, and that man is Sebastian Korda.

The young American will go for the repeat victory here in Paris against the French Open co-favorite, and oddsmakers are firmly in the corner of the young Spaniard.

What are Korda’s realistic chances of pulling it off again? Let’s take a closer look.

Korda One Of Few To Beat Alcaraz In 2022

The son of former World No. 2 Petr Korda and the brother of LPGA golfers Nelly and Jessica, Korda is probably someone you’ve heard of by now.

Already No. 30 in the world, the 21-year-old owns a title on the ATP level and several big wins.

One of those came just about a month ago, when he took out Alcaraz in three contentious sets. While the Spaniard was fresh off a long title run in Miami, he hardly gave Korda anything. The two traded breaks left and right and the shotmaking on display was incredible. Make no mistake, Korda earned that victory.

It makes perfect sense that the win — which was the biggest of the season for Korda — came on clay. It’s the American’s preferred surface with an abundance of wins at the ITF and Challenger levels on red clay, and this very tournament is where he announced himself to the world with a run to the fourth round of the 2020 French Open.

Alcaraz Fresh Off Resilient Victory

There’s not much left to say about the teenage sensation. His raw ability was on full display against Albert Ramos-Vinolas in the second round, and while it was a match that took a lot out of him it was an incredibly impressive victory.

Ramos-Vinolas, of course, held a match point in the match and really did well to get himself there. The veteran has been one of the hardest men on Earth to take out on a clay court for the better part of a decade and played a sensational match that nearly spanned start to finish.

Some who are unfamilar with Ramos-Vinolas may see this win as cause for concern for Alcaraz, but the fact he was able to come through is probably a good sign of things to come.

As mentioned above, Alcaraz did fall to Korda at Monte Carlo — a Masters 1000 event — last month. It should also be noted that the two met at the ATP NextGen Finals last fall where Alcaraz won in straight sets, saving a break point along the way.

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Betting Value

While the NextGen Finals result seemed straightforward and the loss at Monte Carlo can be chalked up to fatigue, these two have put on two very entertaining clashes when they’ve met. Both were decided by thin margins, and this won’t be any different.

Korda’s backhand down the line is the perfect foil for the Alcaraz cross-court forehand, and his ability to defend and play at the net makes him a really tricky matchup for the rising star.

We should see another epic here, so with that I’ll grab the games.

Pick: Korda +6.5 Games (-105)

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