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Rafael Nadal vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions (July 4)

Rafael Nadal vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions (July 4) article feature image
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Shi Tang/Getty. Pictured: Rafael Nadal.

  • Rafael Nadal is looking to push into the quarterfinals of Wimbledon.
  • He'll have to get past Botic van de Zandschulp in the fourth round.
  • Read on to see where Luke Holmberg sees the betting value.

Nadal vs. Van de Zandschulp Odds

Nadal Odds -650
Van de Zandschulp Odds +440
Over/Under 34
Time | TV 11:45 am ET | ESPN/ESPN+
Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

Rafael Nadal and Botic Van de Zandschulp will meet in the fourth round at Wimbledon in a rematch from the French Open.

After a match that Nadal handily won, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4, Van de Zandschulp will be looking for a way to improve on his last outing against the all-time great.

On a surface that will suit Van de Zandschulp much better and removing Nadal from the tournament he is seemingly unbeatable at, will he be able to hit his way through Nadal?

Let’s dive in.

Van de Zandschulp A Consistent Competitor

Van de Zandschulp made his breakthrough at the US Open last year. Battling through qualifying and ultimately reaching the quarter finals, Botic notified the world that he is a true threat on tour.

He was the only player to take a set off Daniil Medvedev at that event, and he has continued to make his presence felt.

Boasting a 36-21 record in ATP main draw matches in the last 52 weeks, Botic has used his powerful serve and ground stroke combination to blow through any type of opponent.

Although Nadal is a different caliber of opponent, he will be familiar with that level from their last meeting. Additionally, he has three wins against top-10 opponents since his US Open run, showing he can compete with the best of the best.

Nadal Warmed Up On Grass

Nadal finally looked comfortable in his match against Lorenzo Sonego.

Dispatching of the dangerous Italian in comfortable fashion, Nadal showed us once against how lethal he can be on his least preferred surface.

Nadal found the consistent depth on his groundstrokes that have caused opponents trouble for well over a decade. He will look to keep Botic hitting off his back foot with his deep and heavy groundstrokes once again.

With the Calendar Slam still in sight, Nadal will face his toughest test of the tournament on Monday.

Betting Value

A lot can be read from their last matchup at Roland Garros. In his best tournament, Nadal beat Van de Zandschulp by 9 games.

Moving to a tournament that Botic prefers more and Nadal takes less of a liking to, Van de Zandschulp would need to improve his showing by three games to cover.

I believe the change in surface should account for that difference.

Even though Nadal looked dominant once against last round, he is always susceptible to slightly decreased level on the grass. If his groundstrokes are landing short in the court like his first two rounds, Van de Zandschulp will be sure to take advantage with his powerful game.

Trust Van de Zandschulp and his big serve to make up the game difference on grass courts.

PickVan de Zandschulp +6.5 Games (-120 or better)

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