ATP Wimbledon Quarterly Betting Preview: Handicapping Federer’s Draw


© Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Jul 01, 2018, 10:18 AM EDT

Roger Federer has his eyes set on winning a ninth Wimbledon title, but he’ll have to overcome a relatively tough draw to do so.

In his quarter, we see the names of some very established grass courters over the years — including past Wimby semifinalists Sam Querrey and Richard Gasquet. The quarter also features some other dangerous players in Kevin Anderson, Borna Coric (who beat Roger last week in Halle) and even Gilles Muller (if his elbow holds up).

Still, Roger boasts a remarkably dominant 46-3 (9-1 on grass) record against the seeded players in his quarter, at 46-3 and should ultimately come through this portion of the draw. However, I don’t think it will be as straightforward as last year — when he won his eighth Wimbledon title without dropping a set.

Then again, Roger’s always up for a good test — especially on SW19.

Let’s further analyze this quarter from a betting perspective by looking at key head-to-head records, futures value and some of the first round matchups.

Federer Head-to-Head vs. Seeds

  • 4-0 va. Kevin Anderson
  • 3-0 vs. Sam Querrey
  • 2-1 vs. Borna Coric 2-1
  • 5-0 vs. Adrian Mannarino
  • 17-2 vs. Richard Gasquet
  • 13-0 vs. Philipp Kohlschreiber
  • 2-0 vs. Leo Mayer 2-0

Federer owns a stellar 46-3 record against the seeds in his quarter, including 9-1 on grass. However, that one loss came this season to Coric at Halle.

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