Aces vs. Liberty Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2026
Aces at Liberty
11:00 pm • Amazon Prime Video
Las Vegas Aces
14-585
85 - 93

New York Liberty
12-893
Aces at Liberty Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aces 14-5 | +2.5 | +6.5-110 | o174.5-110 | +200 |
Liberty 12-8 | u171.5 | -6.5-110 | u174.5-111 | -245 |

Barclays CenterBrooklyn
Aces vs. Liberty Expert Picks
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 153-162-1 (-27.2u)
Under 175.5-118
1.25u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 53-33-3 (+13.1u)
Under 174.5-110
1u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 33-25-2 (+3.1u)
C.Carter o12.5 Pts-122
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 56-48-1 (+10.0u)
M.Johannes o1.5 3pt M-102
0.51u
Johannes’ playing time took a big hit after Sabrina Ionescu returned, and I was fading her around that stretch. However, her usage has quietly climbed with the second unit, making this a sneaky buy-low spot now that I think the market has adjusted a bit too far.
The Aces are also a favorable matchup for 3-point specialists like Johannes. If Carter sees an expanded role with Wilson out, that’s another subtle boost. Carter is known much more for her offense than her defense, so there’s a decent chance Johannes gets an extra clean look or two while they’re matched up.
I’m projecting Johannes closer to -145 to make at least two 3-pointers. It also correlates nicely with Carter’s increased role tonight, so I’ll be playing them together as a parlay as well.
C.Carter o12.5 Pts-122
0.5u
Chennedy Carter has had one of the stranger seasons in the league. She came in as an instant scoring punch off the bench for the Aces, then started venting frustration on social media about her role. She missed a few games with a leg injury, returned on a minutes restriction, then missed five more with an “illness.” Becky Hammon runs a pretty tight ship, so it’s hard to know what was actually going on behind the scenes.
Whatever the case, Carter looked like her usual self last game, scoring 11 points in just 16 minutes. Now with A’ja Wilson ruled OUT for the Commissioner’s Cup Championship, the Aces need someone to help replace all of that offense.
I’m projecting Carter for around 20 minutes tonight, and she’s been an elite scorer whenever she’s on the floor. She’s averaging 33.1 points per 100 possessions with A’ja on the court, but that jumps to an absurd 45.4 points per 100 with Wilson off.
There’s obviously a wide range of outcomes given everything that’s happened this season, but I have her projected closer to 15 points with around a 63% chance to clear 12.5. She’s exactly the type of player I like to ladder as well because her ceiling is enormous.
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 41-36-4 (+2.6u)
P.Astier o3.5 Ast+100
1u
Alex Hinton
Last 30d: 69-68-1 (+13.0u)
NY -5.5-115
0.22u
J.Young o24.5 Pts+Ast-117
0.85u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 158-186-17 (+2.9u)
N.Smith u10.5 Pts-115
0.5u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 29-36-0 (-3.0u)
Under 176-115
0.35u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 36-46-1 (+31.3u)
Jackie Young o4.5 1Q Points-118
1u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 29-36-0 (-3.0u)
LVA +120
0.35u
L.Fiebich u2.5 Rebs+112
0.4u
J.Young o17.5 Pts-102
0.49u
Buckets WNBA live was able to get 16.5 but still like it here
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 36-46-1 (+31.3u)
C.Carter To Score 10+ Points Yes-125
0.8u
A.Wilson u25.5 Pts-106
1u
Aces vs. Liberty Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Aces vs. Liberty Public Betting Percentages
Aces
Public
Liberty
100%
Bets%
0%Money%
Betting Trends
- Liberty are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Liberty are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Liberty are 3-7 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Liberty' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Liberty' 11 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | 7-4 | 3-7 | 8-10 | 2-1 | |
| 10-10 | 3-5 | 7-5 | 10-9 | 0-1 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-9 | 4-7 | 8-2 | 11-7 | 1-2 | |
| 11-9 | 4-4 | 7-5 | 10-9 | 1-0 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | N/A | N/A | 11-7 | 2-1 | |
| 14-5 | N/A | N/A | 14-5 | 0-1 |
Last 5 Matchups
Liberty vs. Aces Injury Updates

Liberty Injuries
- Breanna StewartF
Stewart is out with leg
Out
- Satou SaballyF
Sabally is day-to-day with concussion
Day-to-Day
- Raquel CarreraC
Carrera is out with undisclosed
Out

Aces Injuries
- Chelsea GrayG
Gray is out with leg
Out
- Cheyenne Parker-TyusF
Parker-Tyus is out with personal
Out
- A'ja WilsonC
Wilson is day-to-day with leg
Day-to-Day
- Dana EvansG
Evans is day-to-day with leg
Day-to-Day
- Janiah BarkerF
Barker is day-to-day with leg
Day-to-Day
Team Stats

Aces
Liberty

34-79 (43%)
Field Goals
31-66 (47%)
11-14 (79%)
Free Throws
24-29 (83%)
6-26 (23%)
3P
7-25 (28%)
30
Rebounds
42
21
Assists
18
Turnovers
8
Steals
6
0
Blocks
5
24
Fouls
19
Aces vs. Liberty Odds Comparison
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Aces at Liberty Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Aces 14-5 | N/A | N/A |
Liberty 12-8 | N/A | N/A |

