Liverpool hosts PSG at Anfield on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, for the second leg of their Champions League quarterfinal, with kickoff set for 3:00 PM EST. Trailing by two goals, the English side faces an uphill battle to keep their European hopes alive against the formidable French champions.
Let’s get into my Liverpool vs PSG prediction.
Liverpool vs PSG Prediction
My main prediction for this match is for Liverpool to score over 1.5 goals. Despite a poor first-leg showing, Liverpool's scoring record at Anfield is impressive, particularly in the Champions League. With their backs against the wall, expect an all-out attacking approach from the home side from the opening whistle.
Liverpool vs PSG Odds
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -225o / 175u | +150 | |
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -225o / 175u | +140 | |
Liverpool vs PSG Picks
- Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals (-125 at bet365)
- Over 3.5 Goals (+110 at bet365)
The magic of a Champions League night at Anfield is a well-documented phenomenon, and Liverpool will need every bit of it to overcome a 2-0 deficit. While qualifying for the semifinal will be a monumental task, scoring at least twice is well within their reach. Liverpool has scored more than 1.5 goals in six of their last nine matches at home across all competitions. In this season's Champions League, they have accomplished this feat in four of their six games at Anfield.
PSG, for their part, have shown defensive vulnerabilities on the road. The Parisian club has conceded more than 1.5 goals in three of their six away Champions League fixtures this season. Overall, they have allowed at least two goals in five of their previous 11 matches, suggesting that a desperate Liverpool attack can find openings.
This desperation is also why the over 3.5 goals total is an appealing pick. Liverpool must push forward, and that attacking intent will inevitably leave them exposed to PSG's lethal counter-attack. The first leg could have easily ended with more than two goals, as PSG created numerous chances. Liverpool’s Champions League home games this season have seen an average of 4.2 goals, while PSG’s matches in the competition have averaged 4.08 goals. Expect a high-scoring affair as one team fights for survival and the other looks to capitalize on the space left behind.
Liverpool vs PSG Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | PSG |
| 41.1% | 21.1% | 37.8% |
Projected Total Goals
| Liverpool | Match Total | PSG |
| 1.66 | 3.19 | 1.52 |
Liverpool vs PSG Betting Analysis
In the first leg, Liverpool’s tactical switch to a five-defender formation backfired spectacularly. The team looked passive, managing only 26% possession and failing to register a single shot on target. That approach will be abandoned at Anfield, as Arne Slot's team must revert to a more aggressive, front-foot style. This necessary shift in strategy should create a much more open game.
PSG will be ready to exploit the spaces Liverpool leaves behind. With attackers like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Ousmane Dembele, who caused constant problems in the first match, PSG's transition game is a major threat. Liverpool’s defense will be under immense pressure to contain a PSG attack that is one of the most potent in Europe.
Historically, this matchup has been tight. In five meetings, PSG holds a narrow 3-2 advantage, and the two sides have never drawn. The last time they met in the knockout stage, PSG advanced on penalties. Interestingly, the last three encounters have all been wins to nil, with PSG claiming two. However, the context of this second leg, with Liverpool needing to chase the game, points toward a break in that trend and a high likelihood of goals from both sides.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Liverpool vs PSG picks.
