- The Wyndham Championship features a weak field headlined by tournament favorite Webb Simpson at +1200.
- Rafa Cabrera-Bello is in good form and looking to crack the Ryder Cup roster, so he's good value at +2500.
- The weaker field presents a few triple-digit longshots worth a wager.
What better way to back up an electric PGA Championship than with a tournament headlined by Webb Simpson.
But with the playoffs looming next week, most of the stars are taking the Wyndham Championship off to rest up for the sprint toward $10 million and the FedEx Cup title.
With a weaker field, we have a good opportunity to find some value down the board.
Sedgefield Country Club has been the host of the Wyndham Championship on and off since the mid-1940s, including each of the past 10 tournaments.
It represents one of the easier tour stops each season. Four of the past 10 winners reached 20-under par, and only once did less than 16-under claim the title.
Sedgefield is a short par-70 track checking in at 7,127 yards. Length really isn’t a big factor. We’ve seen shorter hitters like Simpson and Ryan Moore win here.
Overall, this is basically a course where players just need to get the tee shot in play, and then it turns into a wedge contest.
With the lack of driving emphasis, players who struggle with accuracy off the tee have been able to club down here and take advantage. With the driver nullified, we can focus on approach and short game this week.
As mentioned earlier, the 2011 champion Webb Simpson opened as the favorite at 12-1. He’s followed by the defending champion Henrik Stenson and Hideki Matsuyama at 16-1.
Brandt Snedeker, Shane Lowry, Rafa Cabrera-Bello, Ryan Moore and Billy Horschel are in the next group, coming in between 22-1 and 28-1.
So, yeah, this is a loaded group heading into the last week of the PGA regular season.
All odds as of Monday evening.
Simpson and Stenson check every box for this course. Both have won here and tend to thrive on second-shot golf courses. But I’m not going to bet Simpson at any tournament as a favorite, and Stenson has been battling injury problems the past couple of months. So that opens up a few names further down the board.
Matsuyama is in a similar boat to Stenson. He’s been injured and struggling with form. So I’m making my first play in that next group.
Rafa Cabrera-Bello (25-1) is where my card will start. He’s entering the Wyndham playing as well as anyone after a solid final round at the PGA Championship got him into the top 10.
He’s also still trying to impress Ryder Cup captain Thomas Bjorn and work his way into the European squad. Combine all that with the chance at a first win on the PGA Tour, and there’s plenty of motivation for RCB to play well this week.
I like a top-five play on Cabrera-Bello in the 5-1 range as well.