Is Ian Poulter’s Hot Streak Sustainable at Shinnecock?

Is Ian Poulter’s Hot Streak Sustainable at Shinnecock? article feature image

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ian Poulter.

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Ian Poulter

DFS Pricing: $7,300 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-21, T-17, T-54, N/A, N/A

Odds: +12,500 to win, +700 top-10 finish, +350 top-20 finish, -300 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +275 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Luke List (-120) over Ian Poulter

Tee Times: 7:51 a.m. (Thursday); 1:36 p.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Poulter is in amazing form of late, boasting a 68.2 Recent Adjusted Round Score over the past six weeks. He’s on a tear, hitting 71.3% of Greens in Regulation (GIR), averaging 20.7 birdies per tournament and just 7.3 bogeys during that time frame. While his distance off the tee is a disadvantage, he could negate some of that worry with his excellent putting (28.9 Long-Term Putts per Round) and his scrambling. Overall, Poulter is likely a safe DFS investment, as he owns just an 11% missed-cut rate over the past 75 weeks, and he isn’t a stranger to U.S. Open conditions, making the cut in nine of his 12 Open appearances since 2004.

The Metrics

Here’s how Poulter ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-33rd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-23rd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 32nd
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-105th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 17th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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