Stay Away from Hobbled Kevin Chappell at Shinnecock

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. "Best odds value" and "Best matchup value" listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Kevin Chappell

DFS Pricing:$7,200 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-32, N/A, T-46, MC, T-23

Odds:+20,000 to win, +1400 top-10 finish, +550 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +1400 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: Charles Howell (-135) over Kevin Chappell

Tee Times: 8:02 a.m. (Thursday); 1:47 p.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Chapp was having a nice season, making seven straight cuts to begin his 2018 campaign. Since then, however, it’s been brutal: He’s missed four of his past five cuts, and he’s reportedly been dealing with a nagging back injury. His distance has even been down of late, and last week in the Memorial he hit just 58.3% of greens and 60.7% of fairways. He has nice history at the U.S. Open, finishing T-3 and T-10 back in his first two starts in 2011 and 2012, respectively, but I’m not going to mess with an iffy back at one of the toughest courses on tour. In fact, I’ll be looking for matchup props to bet the other side.

The Metrics

Here's how Chappell ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

• Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-39th
• Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-72nd
• Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 30th
• Long-Term Driving Distance: 27th
• Strokes Gained: Approach: 29th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.