Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Betting Picks: Sobel’s Favorite Outright and Matchup Plays for Sunday at TPC Summerlin (Oct. 11)

Credit:

Matthew Stockman/Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Cantlay.

Like most things in Las Vegas, the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open leaderboard has been fast-paced and fleeting throughout the first three rounds. Just when we thought this might turn into a head-to-head battle between Bryson DeChambeau and Patrick Cantlay, the former has dropped well off the pace while the latter is among a dozen-and-a-half players within five shots of the lead.

With one round left to play, Cantlay and Martin Laird hold a share of the two-shot advantage with Matthew Wolff, Brian Harman, Wyndham Clark and Austin Cook just behind them.

What has made this board so precarious, of course, is the uncommonly low numbers being posted in the desert. Already this week, there’s been a 61, three 62s and a whopping dozen 63s, which suggests a player who tees off 60-90 minutes before the final pairing could parlay an aggressive strategy into a victory on Sunday.

A few players worth consideration as outright plays:

Round 4 Outright Bets

Patrick Cantlay (+175): It might be obtuse to follow three paragraphs about the packed leaderboard with a suggestion that one of the co-leaders at a short price should be played, but Cantlay’s record at this event is nearly spotless, with a win and two runner-up finishes in three previous starts.

Despite opening 63-65-65, it still doesn’t quite feel as if he’s played his best golf yet, which is a scary proposition.

If you are backing Cantlay, you’ll likely be rooting for some tougher conditions in the final round, with less of a chance for players behind him to chase him down.

[Bet Cantlay now at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.]

Get $1,000 Sign-Up Bonus
Full Review
Matched 1st bet up to $500
Deposit bonus up to $500
Action's Preferred Sportsbook

Matthew Wolff (+600): How incredible was Wolff’s third-round performance? He shot 61, but he gained just +0.15 strokes putting. That’s because he hit the ball like a cross between Ben Hogan and Jack Nicklaus, picking up +6.36 strokes tee-to-green.

It’ll certainly be tough to replicate that number once again, yet if the ball-striking stays solid and a few of his burned-edge putts drop into the hole, it’s not inconceivable that Wolff could come close to matching it.

[Bet Wolff now at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.]

Abraham Ancer (+4100): One of the best regular members on the PGA TOUR without a career victory, Ancer started the week at 60-1. Now, he’s not even less than half of that number, despite being just four strokes off the lead. Ancer is a tremendous ball-striker who just needs one blazing round with his putter to get over the hump for that first career win.

[Bet Ancer now at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.]

Get a $1,000 Risk-Free Bet
Full Review
$1,000 free-roll on first bet
Only 1x rollover
Great daily odds boosts

Harold Varner III (+5000): So many times over the past few years, we’ve seen HV3 get into contention only to fade during a pressure-packed weekend. Perhaps this situation is exactly what he needs, starting four shots back with the knowledge that he can swing freely and play aggressively. He’ll be paired with Ancer in the sixth-to-last pairing of the day, one that could yield a long-deserving winner.

[Bet Varner now at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.]

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories