The final event of the PGA Tour regular season returns to Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC, a Donald Ross design from the mid-1920s that has hosted the Tour since 2008. At 7,131 yards and a par 70, it’s one of the shortest and most strategic venues on the schedule, a course that asks for placement rather than power.
Sixteen of the world���s top 50 are entered, headlined by defending champion Cameron Young alongside Justin Thomas, Hideki Matsuyama, Ben Griffin, Aaron Rai and Keegan Bradley. The real drama is the bubble. Only the top 70 in FedExCup points advance to next week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship, so a single birdie can decide whether a season continues.
What the Course demands
- Angles over distance. Fairways average about 30 yards wide with trees framing them; driver usage sits near 56%, one of the lowest rates on Tour. Henrik Stenson famously left the driver in the trunk in 2017 and won at 22 under.
- Fairway bunkers are brutal. Players reach the green in regulation just 24% of the time from them—against a 48% Tour average—marking the worst rate on Tour.
- A wedge and short-iron test. Roughly 55% of approaches come from 100–175 yards, the highest concentration anywhere on Tour, and Sedgefield has ranked among the easiest courses to gain strokes on approach since 2015.
- Recovery is hard, putting is harder. Scrambling from greenside Bermuda rough succeeds only about 40% of the time, second-worst on Tour, and the greens run 12.5–13 on the Stimpmeter with sharp tiers and steep back-to-front slopes.
Scoring
Despite only two par 5s, Sedgefield yields low numbers; 20 under or better has won eight of the last 10 editions, and the course has played roughly 0.85 strokes under par per round over the past five years. Brandt Snedeker’s opening 59 in 2018 remains the benchmark. The closing stretch provides the resistance: the 505-yard 14th, the 507-yard uphill 18th, and long par 3s at the seventh and 12th.
Recent winners: Rai, Lucas Glover, Tom Kim, Kevin Kisner, J.T. Poston, Webb Simpson — all fit the same profile: accurate off the tee, sharp with the short irons, hot with the putter.
Outright Bets
Sungjae Im (+4700)
Im gained strokes on approach last week, which is something we simply haven't seen from him with any regularity over the past couple of seasons. That alone gets my attention heading into a week where the iron play matters more than almost anywhere else on Tour.
Now he arrives at a course he genuinely loves, on the hard, fast Champion Bermuda surfaces where he's always been comfortable. Sedgefield asks you to stripe fairways and control your wedges, and that has been Im's calling card for his entire career.
He's had a couple of close calls this season without getting over the line. At this number, I'm happy to be there when he finally does.
Chris Kirk (+7200)
Kirk's approach play has been absolutely dialed lately. I got on him live last week purely because of how he was swinging it, and nothing about that has changed.
This is the exact profile Sedgefield rewards: a player who finds the short grass, hits his numbers with short and mid irons, and rolls it well on Bermuda.
I hit him at the Honda a few years back at a course with a very similar demand set in terms of fairway width and Bermuda putting. Great spot for him.
Billy Horschel (+11000)
The course history. Do I need to say more? Sedgefield fits what Horschel does, and he's proven it here before. At 100-1, the price does the rest of the arguing for me.
Kristoffer Ventura (+12000)
Ventura has gained five strokes or more ball striking in each of his last four starts. That's the kind of run you don't overthink at this number.
Sedgefield is a ball-striker's course with the fifth-shortest combined set of par 4s and par 5s on Tour, so if the putter cooperates even a little, the ceiling is real. Riding the hot hand here.
