Astros vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2023

Astros at Rays

10:40 pm • MLB Network

Houston Astros

15-23

3 - 8

Tampa Bay Rays

24-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bradley			5.59	5-8
J.Urquidy			5.29	3-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 15-23	N/A	N/A	N/A
Rays 24-12	N/A	N/A	N/A

Monday 10:40 p.m.

April 24, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB -1-125

TB -0.5 (F5)-122

0.82u

HOU +0.5 (F5)-102

1.02u

HOU +0.5 (F5)-130

1.3u

Over 8.5-110

0.91u

TB -158

TB -140 (F5)

0.32u

Team Taj

TB -140 (F5)

CORRECTION: THIS IS THE BET (NOT FULL GAME) - Urquidy has a 3.67 xERA that matches his 3.66 ERA, but all other estimators are more than a full run above. Bradley has estimators around two through two starts, but even if you accept projections that are twice that number, the TB offense (150+ wRC+ v RHP) has been far better than HOU (lg avg).

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The Astros are 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Taylor Walls has a miss rate of 37% on elevated fastballs since last season -- 11th worst among hitters with at least 273 total PA's-- eighth Percentile. Jose Urquidy has located his fastball up 53% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Randy Arozarena is slugging .897 on fastballs this season -- second best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Jose Urquidy has allowed a SLG of .676 on fastballs this season -- 14th worst among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 13th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (46/140) against Jose Urquidy when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .571 (4 GB hits out of 7 GBs) against Taj Bradley this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .241 -- first Percentile.

Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 42% (17 SO in 40 PAs) this season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 99th Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (70 Total Bases / 116 ABs) on fastballs away since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .373 -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 10-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Rays' 18 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	23-13	13-5	10-8	14-7	9-6
Astros	15-23	8-11	7-12	4-11	11-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	16-18-2	6-11-1	10-7-1	9-10-2	7-8
Astros	24-12-2	14-5	10-7-2	9-6	14-6-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	24-12	14-4	10-8	15-6	9-6
Astros	15-23	9-10	6-13	5-10	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	CWS	W 4-1	-	-	-
Apr 22nd	CWS	W 4-3	-	-	-
Apr 21st	CWS	W 8-7	-	-	-
Apr 19th	@CIN	W 8-0	-	-	-
Apr 18th	@CIN	W 10-0	-	-	-

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Urquidy, P	73	2.2	3	6
RS.Martinez, P	48	2.1	4	0
RR.Stanek, P	19	1	1	1
RR.Blanco, P	43	2	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Dubon, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Pena, SS	1-4	1	1	1
3K.Tucker, RF	0-2	0	0	1
4A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
5J.Abreu, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Julks, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7Y.Diaz, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, CF	1-2	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	82	5	6	3
RK.Kelly, P	39	2	3	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	10	1	0	0
LJ.Beeks, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	1	0
2W. Franco, SS	4-5	2	1
3R.Arozarena, LF	2-3	2	2
4B.Lowe, 2B	0-5	0	0
5H.Ramirez, DH	1-3	1	1
6I.Paredes, 3B	2-3	1	1
7J.Lowe, RF	1-5	0	1
8C.Bethancourt, C	2-5	1	2
9M.Margot, CF	0-3	0	0