Red Sox vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Red Sox at Braves

11:15 pm • BravesVsn

Boston Red Sox

20-27

3 - 2

Atlanta Braves

32-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			2.01	4-2
P.Tolle			2.05	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 20-27	+1.5	-1.5+168	o7.5-115	+101
Braves 32-16	u7.5	-1.5-115	u7.5-105	-120

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 16, 2026

Truist ParkAtlanta

BOS +120 (Live)

1.2u

Pre Game Line Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Payton Tolle gives Boston a real dog path with a 0.88 WHIP through 22.2 innings. Bryce Elder's 1.81 ERA is strong, but 20 walks in 54.2 innings leave a traffic lane. Atlanta is 5-5 over its last 10, same as Boston, and the price is leaning harder on the standings than the matchup.

BOS +102

1.02u

BOS +107

1.07u

BOS +100

ATL -113

BOS +127

1.27u

BOS u3.5-120

B.Elder o5.5 Ks+136

0.45u

#EV 4.92%

Under 8-109

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (+100)

BOS +125

0.63u

Bet to +105

BOS +125

1.25u

(B365) Saturday's slate breakdown (Play to +105)

Under 8-110

0.91u

(B365) Saturday's slate breakdown. (Bet to 7.5 -even)

Over 8-110

0.55u

The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown & Bets for Saturday
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May 16, 2026 UTC
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Super-Strong Sharp Action Saturday
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 17-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Braves' 24 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	32-16	15-9	17-7	24-11	8-5
Red Sox	18-29	7-15	11-14	11-19	6-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	20-25-3	6-16-2	14-9-1	16-16-3	4-9
Red Sox	20-26-1	5-16-1	15-10	12-17-1	8-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	32-16	16-8	16-8	25-10	7-6
Red Sox	20-27	8-14	12-13	14-16	5-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	BOS	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL -149
May 14th	CHC	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -200
May 13th	CHC	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL +101
May 12th	CHC	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -122
May 10th	@LAD	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL +118

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Tolle, P		85	8	3	2
LA.Chapman, P		20	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Gasper, C	1-4	1	0	0
2C.Narvaez, C	0-0	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	2-4	1	0	0
4W.Contreras, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-3	0	0	1
6C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Mayer, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Monasterio, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Durbin, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P		103	8	3	3
LM.Perez, P		14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Baldwin, DH	2-3	1	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Mateo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Dubon, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7H.Kim, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8S.Leon, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Azocar, RF	2-3	1	0	0