Braves vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Braves at Mariners

7:40 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

0-0

5 - 2

Seattle Mariners

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Hancock			4.75	4-4
C.Sale			2.38	18-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-0	-1.5-110	o7-119	-191
Mariners 0-0	+1.5-110	u7-102	+160

Wednesday 7:40 p.m.

May 01, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

ATL -185

M.Ozuna o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

1.25u

ATL -160 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -175

ATL -158

0.5u

Featured Insight
Braves RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB. Mariners have struck out 25% since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mariners RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 28% over the last week -- second highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Bets
Sean Zerillo•
May 1, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Mariners are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Mariners are 73-14 (.839) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Braves are 17-54 (.239) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Julio Rodriguez has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. A.J. Minter has a strikeout rate of 33% since the 2022 season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

5 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 96th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.9 MPH (80 batted balls) this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (15/87) against Emerson Hancock over the last 14 days -- 4th lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 33-48 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	69-93	36-45	33-48	44-69	24-22
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	88-68-6	41-35-5	47-33-1	58-49-6	28-18
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	90-72	51-30	39-42	66-47	22-24
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	ATL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7	SEA +105
Apr 30th	ATL	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7	SEA +135
Apr 28th	ARI	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 6.5	ARI -141
Apr 28th	ARI	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7	SEA -155
Apr 27th	ARI	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA +110

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Michael Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Dominic Canzone
RF
Dominic Canzone scratched Sunday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	100	5	9	1
LD.Lee, P	24	1.2	2	1
LA.Minter, P	8	0.1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	13	1	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	17	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-5	2	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	1	0
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-2	0	1
6A.Duvall, LF	0-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-4	1	0
9C.Tromp, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Hancock, P	77	3.2	4	1
RT.Thornton, P	10	1.1	0	0
RT.Miller, P	29	2	2	0
LT.Saucedo, P	5	1	0	0
RA.Voth, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Rodriguez, CF	3-5	1	0
2M.Haniger, RF	0-5	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	2-5	0	2
4C.Raleigh, DH	0-4	0	0
5T.France, 1B	2-4	0	0
6D.Moore, SS	1-4	0	0
7L.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0
8S.Haggerty, LF	0-3	0	0
8J.Rojas, PH	0-1	0	0
8J.Rojas, LF	0-1	0	0
9S.Zavala, C	2-3	1	0
9L.Raley, PH	0-0	0	0