Guardians vs Twins Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 9, 2026

Guardians at Twins

5:40 pm • CLEG

Cleveland Guardians

47-46

5 - 2

Minnesota Twins

46-47

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			4.59	6-3
G.Williams			3.89	9-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 47-46	-1.5	-1.5+135	o8.5-115	-120
Twins 46-47	u8.5	+1.5-165	u8.5-103	-102

Thursday 5:40 p.m.

July 09, 2026

Target FieldMinneapolis

B.Ober o15.5 Outs+160

THE BAT X is forecasting 16.65 pitching outs for Bailey Ober. Oddsmakers are implying 14.60 pitching outs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 58% of the time resulting in a 50% ROI with expected value of $50.36 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -111. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

G.Williams o17.5 Outs-114

0.5u

G.Williams o5.5 Ks-155

B.Ober o15.5 Outs+121

0.83u

Over 8.5-107

1.07u

MIN +114

Over 8.5-114

1.14u

(DK) Thursday's Leadoff (Bet through 9, but drop to 0.5u at 9)

Guardians vs Twins: Projected Edge for Both Lineups
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Jul 9, 2026 UTC
The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown and Bets for Thursday
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Opening Pitch: Zerillo’s MLB Projections for Thursday
Sean Zerillo•
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 25-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Twins' 47 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	49-44	24-23	25-21	11-17	37-26
Guardians	47-46	23-23	24-23	21-29	26-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	54-33-6	24-19-4	30-14-2	16-11-1	37-21-5
Guardians	45-48	23-23	22-25	26-24	18-22

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	46-47	24-23	22-24	15-13	30-33
Guardians	47-46	24-22	23-24	27-23	20-20

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 8th	CLE	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -127
Jul 7th	CLE	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -110
Jul 5th	@NYY	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +114
Jul 4th	@NYY	W 11-4	+1.5 W	O 10.5	MIN +125
Jul 3rd	@NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9.5	NYY +197

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Williams, P	103	7	11	2
RH.Gaddis, P	6	1	1	0
RC.Smith, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Bazzana, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	0	0	2
3C.DeLauter, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4K.Manzardo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5K.Watson, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Fry, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5P.Halpin, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6G.Arias, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
7D.Schneemann, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8P.Bailey, C	1-3	2	1	1
9S.Kwan, LF	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	74	5	5	1
LK.Rojas, P	47	2	3	3
LK.Funderburk, P	10	1	0	0
RW.Go, P	18	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Larnach, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Lee, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3K.Clemens, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5R.Lewis, 1B	2-4	2	1	1
6A.Roden, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7L.Keaschall, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Gray, SS	1-3	0	0	1
9A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0	0