Twins vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2026

Twins at Yankees

5:35 pm • MNNT
11 - 4
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Brendan Beck logoB.BeckNew York Yankees logo9.450-1
Zebby Matthews logoZ.MatthewsMinnesota Twins logo5.127-8

Twins at Yankees Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins
63-67
+1.5
+1.5-155
o10.5-113
+125
Yankees
73-56
u10
-1.5+130
u10.5-108
-149
location pinSaturday 5:35 p.m.
July 04, 2026
Yankee StadiumBronx
Twins vs. Yankees Expert Picks
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 23-18-0 (+1.3u)
NYY -1 (Live)-110
1u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 82-70-1 (+12.3u)
NYY +1.5 (Live)-125
1.25u
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 200-174-4 (+11.1u)
Over 10-112
1.12u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 16-15-1 (+1.4u)
MIN +1-110
1.82u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 82-70-1 (+12.3u)
NYY -120 (F5)
1.2u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 32-89-4 (+14.4u)
T.Grisham o0.5 HR+270
0.25u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 82-70-1 (+12.3u)
K.Clemens o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-127
1u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 408-427-13 (-12.7u)
Z.Matthews u5.5 Ks-148
1u
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 110-127-7 (-10.9u)
Z.Matthews u4.5 Ks+125
0.4u
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 18-33-6 (-3.6u)
Z.Matthews u16.5 Outs-110
1u
There may be some value on Zebby Matthews's pitching outs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 14.07 pitching outs, and oddsmakers are implying 16.16. The model believes there is a 73% chance he records fewer than 17 pitching outs. If you can get the under at -110 or better there is great value here. This play is good down to at least -194. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 87-75-0 (+40.3u)
MIN +150
4.5u
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 71-103-1 (-21.6u)
MIN +140
1.4u
tonysartori99
Last 30d: 18-20-1 (+2.2u)
NYY -163
1u

Twins vs. Yankees Previews & Analysis

  • Grant's 5 Home Run Picks for Saturday article feature image

    Grant's 5 Home Run Picks for Saturday

    Grant Neiffer
    Jul 4, 2026 UTC
  • Derek Carty's 2 MLB Player Props for the 4th of July article feature image

    Derek Carty's 2 MLB Player Props for the 4th of July

    Action Network Staff
    Jul 4, 2026 UTC
  • Sartori's Pick for Twins-Yankees article feature image

    Sartori's Pick for Twins-Yankees

    Tony Sartori
    Jul 4, 2026 UTC
  • The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown and Bets for the 4th of July article feature image

    The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown and Bets for the 4th of July

    Matt Trollo
    Jul 4, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Twins vs. Yankees Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Twins

Public

25%

Bets%

75%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees
62-6728-3234-3549-5513-12
Twins
68-6233-3335-2916-2650-35

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Yankees
53-72-428-30-225-42-239-61-414-11
Twins
68-55-730-32-438-23-320-21-146-33-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees
73-5632-2841-2861-4312-13
Twins
63-6735-3128-3622-2039-46

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 3rdMINW 5-2-1.5 WU 9.5NYY -236
Jul 1stDETL 2-6-1.5 LU 9.5DET -135
Jun 30thDETL 3-9+1.5 LO 7.5DET -115
Jun 29thDETL 3-7-1.5 LO 8DET -140
Jun 28th@BOSL 4-5-1.5 LO 8BOS -106

Yankees vs. Twins Injury Updates

Yankees Injuries

  • Clarke Schmidt
    SP

    Schmidt is out with elbow

    Out

Twins Injuries

  • Pablo Lopez
    SP

    Lopez is out with elbow

    Out

  • David Festa
    SP

    Festa is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Travis Adams
    SP

    Adams is out with triceps

    Out

Twins vs. Yankees Box Score
Twins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Zebby Matthews logoRZ.Matthews, P794.254
Travis Adams logoRT.Adams, P19110
Taylor Rogers logoLT.Rogers, P120.200
Andrew Morris logoRA.Morris, P50.210
Marco Raya logoRM.Raya, P35220
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Trevor Larnach logo1T.Larnach, LF2-3211
Austin Martin logo1A.Martin, PR0-0100
Austin Martin logo1A.Martin, LF0-0100
Byron Buxton logo2B.Buxton, CF1-3102
Kody Clemens logo3K.Clemens, 2B2-4213
Josh Bell logo4J.Bell, DH3-5223
Royce Lewis logo5R.Lewis, 1B1-5000
Brooks Lee logo6B.Lee, 3B0-4000
Ryan Kreidler logo7R.Kreidler, SS0-5000
Luke Keaschall logo8L.Keaschall, RF1-4211
Alex Jackson logo9A.Jackson, C1-5111
Yankees Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Brendan Beck logoRB.Beck, P873.235
Tim Hill logoLT.Hill, P21111
Jake Bird logoRJ.Bird, P150.200
Ryan Yarbrough logoLR.Yarbrough, P351.221
Camilo Doval logoRC.Doval, P27120
Brent Headrick logoLB.Headrick, P14120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Trent Grisham logo1T.Grisham, DH0-2100
Paul Goldschmidt logo1P.Goldschmidt, PH0-2000
Paul Goldschmidt logo1P.Goldschmidt, DH0-2000
Ben Rice logo2B.Rice, 1B0-3000
Cody Bellinger logo3C.Bellinger, LF1-5001
Jasson Dominguez logo4J.Dominguez, RF2-5111
Anthony Volpe logo5A.Volpe, SS1-4000
Jazz Chisholm logo6J.Chisholm, 2B1-3000
Ryan McMahon logo7R.McMahon, 3B0-3100
Max Schuemann logo8M.Schuemann, CF2-2112
Ali Sanchez logo9A.Sanchez, C0-2000
Amed Rosario logo9A.Rosario, PH0-1000
Austin Wells logo9A.Wells, C0-1000

Twins vs. Yankees Odds Comparison

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Twins at Yankees Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Twins
63-67
N/A
N/A
Yankees
73-56
N/A
N/A