Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - July 20, 2023

Diamondbacks at Braves

4:20 pm • BSSO

Arizona Diamondbacks

3-3

5 - 7

Atlanta Braves

4-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Strider			3.86	20-5
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Braves 4-2	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 4:20 p.m.

July 20, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

ARI +180

0.5u

Quickly, Gallen (3.62 SIERA, 3.68 xERA) and the D'Backs (106 wRC+ v RHP, def 11 Runs Prevented) are too good to be this big a dog.

S.Strider u8.5 Ks-120

Z.Gallen o5.5 Ks+125

0.5u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

0.5u

ARI +170

0.25u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

$1.00

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-106

0.53u

ATL -190 (F5)

0.95u

Bet to -192

ATL -130

$134.62

READ: Braves to NOT BAT BOTTOM 9 - prop via DK. Alt play here is -1, I would honestly play tt o 4.5 though. Strider’s home #s inflated after an absolute beat down vs the Mets. He’s been stellar at home and owns great numbers vs the Dbacks lineup. Vice versa, Gallen is awful on the road and has rough numbers vs the Braves bats (top bats have great BA/OBP). Shouldn’t be a beat down, but the Braves should put up 5 with ease with strider doing his usual work and holding the Dbacks at bay. Also, we get an opportunity to bet against the Braves getting swept. Always a favorable side and a rare opportunity for ATL. Would’ve been a 2U, but so many plays I like - have to manage that BR.

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The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Sean Murphy is batting .515 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth best among hitters with at least 141 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Zac Gallen has a strike rate of 67% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 39% (176 SO in 452 PAs) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Braves' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A
Diamondbacks	5-1	3-0	2-1	1-0	3-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	0-6	0-6	N/A	0-6	N/A
Diamondbacks	4-2	2-1	2-1	1-0	2-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A
Diamondbacks	3-3	3-0	0-3	1-0	1-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 19th	ARI	L 3-5	-	-	-
Jul 18th	ARI	L 13-16	-	-	-
Jul 16th	CWS	L 1-8	-	-	-
Jul 15th	CWS	L 5-6	-	-	-
Jul 14th	CWS	W 9-0	-	-	-

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Lourdes Gurriel
LF
Gurriel is out with knee
Out
Merrill Kelly
SP
Kelly is out with back
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful
Adrian Del Castillo
C
Del Castillo is out with calf
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P	99	7	5	3
RM.Castro, P	16	0.2	0	3
LK.Nelson, P	7	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Carroll, LF	1-3	2	1	1
4C.Walker, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5D.Canzone, DH	1-4	1	1	3
6E.Rivera, 3B	2-3	1	1	1
7J.McCarthy, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8C.Kelly, C	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Gurriel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Thomas, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Strider, P	100	6	13	4
RB.Heller, P	7	1	0	0
RK.Yates, P	16	1	2	1
RR.Iglesias, P	22	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	2	1	3
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	2	2	3
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	1	1
9M.Harris, CF	2-3	1	0	0