Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 7, 2026

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • SDPA
@
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Walker Buehler logoW.BuehlerSan Diego Padres logo4.615-4
Brandon Pfaadt logoB.PfaadtArizona Diamondbacks logo5.401-1

Diamondbacks at Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks
44-45
-1.5
+1.5-200
o8.5-110
+109
Padres
44-45
u8.5
-1.5+165
u8.5-110
-130
location pinTuesday 1:40 a.m.
July 07, 2026
Petco ParkSan Diego
thermometer image72°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image8Wind
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Expert Picks
Kenny Ducey
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 6-6-0 (+1.4u)
ARI +110
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 68-42-4 (+17.1u)
Under 8.5-109
1u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 252-287-19 (+11.6u)
K.Marte o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-155
$1.55
F.Tatis o0.5 Singles-150
$1.50
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 383-378-8 (+9.4u)
M.Machado o0.5 HR+425
0.1u
Under 4.5 (F5)+100
1u
W.Buehler o15.5 Outs+105
0.95u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 61-81-0 (-54.0u)
ARI +113
3u
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 88-105-5 (-14.0u)
ARI u4.5-125
0.63u
(FD) See notes on F5
Under 9-120
1.2u
(FD) Park plays 6% below average, two strong defenses and see F5 notes for offenses.
SD -106
0.42u
(FD) See notes on F5
SD -104 (F5)
0.62u
(FD) Walker Buehler was left in to take a beating on a warm summer, wind blowing out day at Wrigley last time out. He allowed one-third of his home runs for the season in that outing. Prior to that he had allowed a single run exactly in five straight starts with an underlying 3.38 xERA and 3.18 xFIP. Brandon Pfaadt allowed 1 run to and struck out 2 of 19 Giants in his return to the Arizona rotation. Nothing in that start screamed significant improvement. It’s a smaller sample for Pfaadt, but Buehler’s indicators have been about a half run better and while the San Diego projected lineup has a 103 RC+ vs RHP (109 wRC+ L30 days), the Arizona projected lineup is at 73 (74) with an 84 wRC+ on the road. Both teams have comparably strong defenses. BARTOLO rates both bullpens barely inside the top 10, but they both have bottom third of the league estimators over the last 30 days with the Padres just slightly worse. Splitting a unit full game and F5 with a bit more emphasis F5.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Previews & Analysis

  • Diamondbacks vs. Padres: Back the Small 'Dog article feature image

    Diamondbacks vs. Padres: Back the Small 'Dog

    Kenny Ducey
    Jul 6, 2026 UTC
  • The Leadoff: Anderson's MLB Breakdown and Bets for Monday article feature image

    The Leadoff: Anderson's MLB Breakdown and Bets for Monday

    Jon Anderson
    Jul 6, 2026 UTC
  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo’s MLB Projections for Monday article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo’s MLB Projections for Monday

    Sean Zerillo
    Jul 5, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Diamondbacks

Public

26%

Bets%

74%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
48-4124-2024-2117-1731-24
Diamondbacks
48-4126-2122-2019-2128-20

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres
39-49-119-24-120-2513-20-126-29
Diamondbacks
37-49-319-27-118-22-215-24-121-25-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
44-4523-2121-2419-1525-30
Diamondbacks
44-4527-2017-2524-1619-29

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 5th@LADW 5-2+1.5 WU 10SD +188
Jul 5th@LADL 0-3+1.5 LU 8.5LAD +227
Jul 4th@LADL 3-4+1.5 WU 8LAD +220
Jul 3rd@LADL 7-12+1.5 LO 9.5LAD +179
Jul 1st@CHCL 3-23+1.5 LO 12CHC +107

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Injury Updates

Diamondbacks Injuries

  • Corbin Burnes
    SP

    Burnes is out with elbow

    Out

  • Blake Walston
    SP

    Walston is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tyler Locklear
    1B

    Locklear is out with elbow

    Out

  • Cristian Mena
    SP

    Mena is doubtful with shoulder

    Doubtful

Padres Injuries

  • Joe Musgrove
    SP

    Musgrove is out with elbow

    Out

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Starting Lineups
Diamondbacks Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Brandon Pfaadt logoRB.Pfaadt, P1-15.401.4086.85
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Ketel Marte logo1K.Marte, 2B.267.324.48117
Geraldo Perdomo logo2G.Perdomo, SS.243.353.3555
Corbin Carroll logo3C.Carroll, RF.266.356.50613
Gabriel Moreno logo4G.Moreno, C.282.369.4266
Lourdes Gurriel logo5L.Gurriel, DH.216.272.3112
Max Kepler logo6M.Kepler, LF.105.105.1580
Nolan Arenado logo7N.Arenado, 3B.239.311.3919
Ildemaro Vargas logo8I.Vargas, 1B.261.305.4027
Tommy Troy logo9T.Troy, CF.220.292.3493
Padres Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Walker Buehler logoRW.Buehler, P5-44.611.3788.34
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Fernando Tatis logo1F.Tatis, RF.284.345.3865
Jake Cronenworth logo2J.Cronenworth, 2B.168.277.2352
Manny Machado logo3M.Machado, 3B.189.282.41018
Gavin Sheets logo4G.Sheets, 1B.236.324.45614
Ty France logo5T.France, DH.253.311.46910
Jackson Merrill logo6J.Merrill, CF.214.271.35510
Samad Taylor logo7S.Taylor, LF.329.415.4021
Sung Mun Song logo8S.Song, SS.239.338.3281
Rodolfo Duran logo9R.Duran, C.137.222.3153

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds Comparison

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Diamondbacks at Padres Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Diamondbacks
44-45
N/A
N/A
Padres
44-45
N/A
N/A