Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 7, 2026
Diamondbacks at Padres
1:40 am • SDPAStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 4.61 | 5-4 | ||
![]() | 5.40 | 1-1 |
Diamondbacks at Padres Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 44-45 | -1.5 | +1.5-200 | o8.5-110 | +109 |
Padres 44-45 | u8.5 | -1.5+165 | u8.5-110 | -130 |

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Expert Picks
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 6-6-0 (+1.4u)
ARI +110
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 68-42-4 (+17.1u)
Under 8.5-109
1u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 252-287-19 (+11.6u)
K.Marte o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-155
$1.55
F.Tatis o0.5 Singles-150
$1.50
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 383-378-8 (+9.4u)
M.Machado o0.5 HR+425
0.1u
Under 4.5 (F5)+100
1u
W.Buehler o15.5 Outs+105
0.95u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 61-81-0 (-54.0u)
ARI +113
3u
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 88-105-5 (-14.0u)
ARI u4.5-125
0.63u
(FD) See notes on F5
Under 9-120
1.2u
(FD) Park plays 6% below average, two strong defenses and see F5 notes for offenses.
SD -106
0.42u
(FD) See notes on F5
SD -104 (F5)
0.62u
(FD) Walker Buehler was left in to take a beating on a warm summer, wind blowing out day at Wrigley last time out. He allowed one-third of his home runs for the season in that outing. Prior to that he had allowed a single run exactly in five straight starts with an underlying 3.38 xERA and 3.18 xFIP. Brandon Pfaadt allowed 1 run to and struck out 2 of 19 Giants in his return to the Arizona rotation. Nothing in that start screamed significant improvement. It’s a smaller sample for Pfaadt, but Buehler’s indicators have been about a half run better and while the San Diego projected lineup has a 103 RC+ vs RHP (109 wRC+ L30 days), the Arizona projected lineup is at 73 (74) with an 84 wRC+ on the road. Both teams have comparably strong defenses. BARTOLO rates both bullpens barely inside the top 10, but they both have bottom third of the league estimators over the last 30 days with the Padres just slightly worse. Splitting a unit full game and F5 with a bit more emphasis F5.
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Padres are 24-21 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Padres' 44 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48-41 | 24-20 | 24-21 | 17-17 | 31-24 | |
| 48-41 | 26-21 | 22-20 | 19-21 | 28-20 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39-49-1 | 19-24-1 | 20-25 | 13-20-1 | 26-29 | |
| 37-49-3 | 19-27-1 | 18-22-2 | 15-24-1 | 21-25-2 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44-45 | 23-21 | 21-24 | 19-15 | 25-30 | |
| 44-45 | 27-20 | 17-25 | 24-16 | 19-29 |
Last 5 Matchups
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Injury Updates

Diamondbacks Injuries
- Corbin BurnesSP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
- Blake WalstonSP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
- Tyler Locklear1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out
- Cristian MenaSP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Padres Injuries
- Joe MusgroveSP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Starting Lineups
Diamondbacks Starting Lineup| PITCHER | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-1 | 5.40 | 1.408 | 6.85 |
| HITTERS | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | .267 | .324 | .481 | 17 |
![]() | .243 | .353 | .355 | 5 |
![]() | .266 | .356 | .506 | 13 |
![]() | .282 | .369 | .426 | 6 |
![]() | .216 | .272 | .311 | 2 |
![]() | .105 | .105 | .158 | 0 |
![]() | .239 | .311 | .391 | 9 |
![]() | .261 | .305 | .402 | 7 |
![]() | .220 | .292 | .349 | 3 |
Padres Starting Lineup| PITCHER | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 5-4 | 4.61 | 1.378 | 8.34 |
| HITTERS | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | .284 | .345 | .386 | 5 |
![]() | .168 | .277 | .235 | 2 |
![]() | .189 | .282 | .410 | 18 |
![]() | .236 | .324 | .456 | 14 |
![]() | .253 | .311 | .469 | 10 |
![]() | .214 | .271 | .355 | 10 |
![]() | .329 | .415 | .402 | 1 |
![]() | .239 | .338 | .328 | 1 |
![]() | .137 | .222 | .315 | 3 |
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds Comparison
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Diamondbacks at Padres Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 44-45 | N/A | N/A |
Padres 44-45 | N/A | N/A |






















