Guardians vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 12, 2024

Guardians at Reds

11:10 pm • BSOH

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

2 - 4

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	-1.5+160	o8-108	-105
Reds 0-0	+1.5-190	u8-112	-115

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

June 12, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

S.Kwan o1.5 Total Bases+105

1.05u

Over 4 (F5)-115

1.73u

Under 8-104

T.Bibee u6.5 Ks-140

0.7u

would stop at -150

CLE +333 (1st Inn)

0.5u

+350 Draftkings

T.Bibee u17.5 Outs-125

Bibee under in 9/13. Struggles vs lefties (.790 OPS allowed) and he should see 5-6 in the reds lineup today, especially at the top of the order, where he could get pulled the third time through if he’s in trouble. Reds bats heating up - 124 wRC+ and .805 OPS over the L14 days vs righties. Cleveland with an off day Monday and another on Thursday. And great hitting conditions expected.

Featured Insight
Guardians have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters this season -- second highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 29% against RHP this season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Reds RPs since last season -- tied for second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since last season -- worst in MLB.

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The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Will Benson has an OPS of just .368 with two strikes this season -- third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Tanner Bibee has allowed an OPS of just .371 (167 PAs) with two strikes this season -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

74% of non-fastball strikeouts for Jose Ramirez are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 77% of Nick Lodolo non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .167 (18-for-108) against Tanner Bibee when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 -- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .160 (4-for-25) against Nick Lodolo on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .326 -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (223/698) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 11th	CLE	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 9	CLE -113
Jun 9th	CHC	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 9	CHC +114
Jun 8th	CHC	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -125
Jun 7th	CHC	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -137
Jun 6th	CHC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -130

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Austin Wynns
C
Wynns is out with shoulder
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Nick Martini
OF
Martini is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	102	5.1	11	4
RN.Sandlin, P	20	1	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	5	0.2	1	0
RS.Barlow, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	1	0
2T.Freeman, CF	0-4	0	0
2K.Manzardo, PH	0-1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-5	1	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-2	0	0
5D.Fry, RF	0-2	0	1
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	1
7G.Arias, DH	1-4	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	102	6	6	2
RL.Sims, P	18	1	1	0
LS.Moll, P	11	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	3-4	2	2	4
4S.Steer, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9W.Benson, DH	1-2	1	0	0
9S.Fairchild, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, DH	0-1	0	0	0