Mariners vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 19, 2024

Mariners at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Seattle Mariners

30-26

0 - 8

Cleveland Guardians

30-26

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8
B.Woo			2.89	9-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 30-26	+1.5-170	o7.5-101	+130
Guardians 30-26	-1.5+143	u7.5-119	-155

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

June 19, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

SEA +130

1.5u

SEA +137

T.Bibee u6.5 Ks+106

CLE -1+100

SEA +135

CLE -155

$1354.84

SEA +130

SEA +135

T.Bibee u17.5 Outs+120

Bibee under in 10/14 starts. And he has all of the indicators that I look for in an under: 4.03 pitches per PA (20th/126 qualifiers), and struggles mightily the third time through an order (.872 OPS allowed). The latter burned the Guardians in his last start - Bibee allowed a tie-breaking 2 R HR in the sixth which they never recovered from, so leash could be shorter today. Yes, bullpen was used heavily yesterday, but they had an off day the day prior. Mariners have seen a ton of pitches all season (4.06 per PA is first), and now they are finally hitting - 128 wRC+ and .784 OPS over the L2 weeks vs righties. Solid hitting conditions today too.

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

1.25u

SEA +114

B.Woo o3.5 Ks-111

1.11u

B.Woo u3.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Featured Insight
Mariners RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters this season -- third highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP this season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs left-handed batters this season -- second highest in MLB. Mariners left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP this season -- third highest in MLB.

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4 MLB NRFI Picks for Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Jun 19, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Mariners are 18-9 (.667) after a home win this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Guardians are 21-9 (.700) at home this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Mariners are 15-85 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Cal Raleigh has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Cade Smith has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Austin Hedges has an OPS of just .466 since the 2022 season -- worst among hitters with at least 591 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Andres Munoz has allowed an OPS of just .554 (578 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 52% (11 SO in 21 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) -- best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 21% -- 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .183 (21 Total Bases / 115 ABs) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .395 -- 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .160 (119 PA's) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .303 -- 100th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 14-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Guardians' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	26-30	12-14	14-16	9-11	17-18
Mariners	26-30	12-16	14-14	11-24	14-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	25-28-3	11-14-1	14-14-2	11-9	14-18-3
Mariners	31-23-2	17-9-2	14-14	21-12-2	9-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	30-26	15-11	15-15	13-7	17-18
Mariners	30-26	14-14	16-12	17-18	12-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 18th	SEA	L 5-8	-1.5 L	O 9	SEA -135
Jun 16th	@TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	TOR +100
Jun 15th	@TOR	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TOR +105
Jun 14th	@TOR	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE +125
Jun 12th	@CIN	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8	CIN -105

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out
Logan Gilbert
SP
Gilbert is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Woo, P	64	4	1	3
RM.Baumann, P	28	1	1	3
RC.Bolton, P	21	1	1	1
RE.Bazardo, P	24	2	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0	0
1R.Bliss, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2J.Rojas, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Rodriguez, CF	1-3	0	0	0
3V.Robles, CF	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0	0
5T.France, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5T.Locklear, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
6L.Raley, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7M.Haniger, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Canzone, RF	1-3	0	0	0
9D.Moore, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RT.Bibee, P	93	6	12
RS.Barlow, P	10	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	11	1	2
RE.Clase, P	7	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-3	2	1	2
1J.Rodriguez, LF	0-0	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	3-4	2	2	4
5D.Fry, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, SS	0-3	1	0	0
8T.Freeman, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	2-4	1	0	1