Mariners vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2025

Mariners at Reds

10:40 pm • FDSOH

Seattle Mariners

68-58

4 - 8

Cincinnati Reds

66-60

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Lodolo			3.05	8-6
L.Castillo			3.48	8-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 68-58	-1.5	-1.5+145	o8.5-121	-115
Reds 66-60	u8	+1.5-178	u8.5-101	-105

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

April 15, 2025

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Under 8.5 (Live)+100

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+130

R.Arozarena o0.5 HR+420

0.25u

Over 8.5-112

0.45u

Over 8.5-110

1.82u

#BQ

Over 8.5-110

CIN +0.5 (F5)-156

0.32u

As much as I hate to go against my guy Castillo I think Lodolo is the better pitcher right now and Reds getting back Hays and McLain today so should help the offense

L.Castillo u5.5 Ks-130

1.15u

4.66% ev

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+130

CIN -104

1.44u

N.Lodolo u17.5 Outs-109

0.46u

CIN -106

0.94u

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Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

Good to -130

Over 8-115

0.87u

Luis Castillo’s 2.12 ERA hides flaws — .335 xwOBA, 41.7% Hard Hit%, 14.6% Barrel. Only 5 IP last start = early bullpen use. Lodolo’s due for regression. Reds’ pen has 4.44 ERA last 3 games, 4 HR/8 BB in that span. Seattle’s road bats have popped: .284 avg, 1.7 HR/game away. Raleigh, J-Rod, Polanco, Arozarena all posting elite xwOBA. Mariners are 34-13-5 to the Over in last 52 road games. Great American Ball Park ranks top 5 in HR factor — perfect for these high-HH% lineups. Reds scored 5+ in 4 of last 5, and Elly (55.8% HH, .375 xwOBA) and Lux (.328 xwOBA) can torch Castillo. Five of last 7 H2Hs hit the Over, many with ease.

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

Huge nutsacks only

Over 8.5-108

Hedged out

CIN +102

0.77u

Bet to -115

CIN -102 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -118

Under 8.5-108

1.08u

Hedged out

MLB NRFI, YRFI Picks for Tuesday Night
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Apr 15, 2025 UTC
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See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 31-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Reds' 63 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	65-59	34-29	31-30	24-31	41-27
Mariners	51-75	26-36	25-39	28-57	22-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	45-72-7	20-38-5	25-34-2	13-39-3	31-33-4
Mariners	66-54-6	31-26-5	35-28-1	41-38-6	23-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	66-60	35-28	30-31	30-25	35-33
Mariners	68-58	37-25	31-33	46-39	20-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	PIT	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CIN -184
Apr 12th	PIT	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN -122
Apr 11th	PIT	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	CIN -170
Apr 9th	@SF	L 6-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SF +124
Apr 9th	@SF	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CIN +110

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

Nick Lodolo
SP
Lodolo is out with blister
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	95	4.1	3	6
RC.Snider, P	21	1.2	1	0
RC.Legumina, P	19	1	1	0
RG.Santos, P	26	0.1	0	2
RE.Bazardo, P	7	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Moore, RF	3-5	2	2	4
1D.Moore, 2B	3-5	2	2	4
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Raleigh, DH	0-5	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5M.Garver, C	0-3	0	0	0
6D.Solano, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7L.Rivas, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Williamson, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
8L.Raley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8L.Raley, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Crawford, SS	1-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	90	4.2	6	4
RS.Barlow, P	15	0.1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	26	0.2	1	0
RG.Ashcraft, P	15	1.1	1	0
RT.Santillan, P	9	1	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2M.McLain, 2B	0-2	2	0	1
3E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	1	0	1
4G.Lux, LF	4-4	1	0	2
4B.Dunn, PR	0-1	0	0	0
4B.Dunn, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Hays, DH	2-4	1	1	4
6J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Fraley, RF	2-4	1	0	0
9J.Trevino, C	1-3	2	0	0