Nationals vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2025

Nationals at Marlins

10:40 pm • FDSFL

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Washington Nationals

60-85

Miami Marlins

67-79

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Weathers			3.28	1-1
M.Gore			4.15	5-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 60-85	+1.5	-1.5+155	o8-108	-101
Marlins 67-79	u8.5	+1.5-189	u8-111	-119

Thursday 10:40 p.m.

September 11, 2025

loanDepot parkMiami

81°Fahrenheit

51%Rain

3Wind

R.Weathers o4.5 Ks-120

1.2u

Weathers flashed awesome secondary pitches over 16 starts last season. His changeup posted a +4 run value and a hefty 37.9% whiff rate. His sweeper had an absurd 51.5% whiff rate and held hitters to a .115 BA and .173 SLG. The problem was his fastball. Weathers' heater posted a -4 run value. Hitters hammered it for a .313 BA and .446 SLG. Weathers added more than a tick of velocity to his fastball over the offseason. He came out sitting 97.2 mph with the 4-seamer after being at 95.9 mph last season. With the fastball now keeping hitters honest, Weathers posted a career-best 12.1% SwStr% through 5 starts. The Nationals are the single best strikeout matchup for LHP right now. They lead the league with a 27.9% K% vs. LHP since the start of July and are dead last in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+. Tonight's projected lineup has combined for a massive 27.3% K% across 884 plate appearances against LHP this season. Weathers is likely capped at 5 innings here, but that should be more than enough in this matchup.

R.Weathers o4.5 Ks-120

R.Weathers o4.5 Ks+120

THE BAT X is forecasting 5.39 strikeouts for Ryan Weathers. Oddsmakers are implying 4.43 strikeouts, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 63% of the time resulting in a 38% ROI with expected value of $38.40 (based on a $100 wager). Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=inf8qq%22%3EEV Analytics!

WSH +110

0.5u

Bet to +105

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 44-28 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Marlins' 74 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	82-64	38-36	44-28	8-17	73-46
Nationals	71-74	30-41	41-33	4-13	67-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	72-71-3	36-37-1	36-34-2	14-11	57-59-3
Nationals	74-64-7	35-33-3	39-31-4	6-11	68-53-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	67-79	33-41	34-38	11-14	56-63
Nationals	60-85	29-42	31-43	6-11	54-74

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	WSH	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA -156
Sep 9th	WSH	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 9	WSH -125
Sep 8th	WSH	L 7-15	-	-	-
Sep 7th	PHI	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9	MIA +116
Sep 6th	PHI	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8	PHI +134

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
LM.Gore, P		5-13	4.15	1.337	10.57

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1C.Abrams, SS	.266	.329	.448	17
2J.Wood, DH	.260	.356	.471	27
3R.Adams, C	.204	.265	.345	8
4J.Bell, 1B	.234	.325	.410	20
5D.Lile, LF	.286	.330	.459	5
6P.DeJong, 3B	.232	.271	.390	6
7D.Crews, RF	.202	.278	.349	8
8N.Nunez, 2B	.216	.286	.373	2
9J.Young, CF	.231	.296	.281	1

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
LR.Weathers, P		1-1	3.28	1.054	8.39

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1X.Edwards, 2B	.282	.340	.356	3
2A.Ramirez, DH	.228	.286	.411	19
3J.Marsee, CF	.336	.404	.573	5
4H.Hernandez, LF	.259	.322	.407	7
5E.Wagaman, 1B	.239	.290	.372	9
6J.Wiemer, RF	.275	.302	.475	2
7M.Acosta, SS	.205	.271	.432	3
8B.Navarreto, C	.333	.333	.333	1
9J.Sanoja, 3B	.236	.282	.378	5