SD @ CHC
11:40 pm • SDPAPadres vs. Cubs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Padres 23-24 | -1.5+165 | o7.5+100 | -105 | |
 Cubs 25-21 | +1.5-198 | u7.5-120 | -115 | |
Wrigley FieldChicago
PRO Insights
Padres
SD Insights
- Featured InsightPadres hitters have an OPS of .797 over the last week -- third best in MLB. Cubs RPs have allowed an OPS of .820 (102 PAs) over the last week -- second worst in MLB.
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Padres vs. Cubs Game Analysis
Padres vs. Cubs Notes
Keys to the Game
The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Matchup Contrasts
Ha-seong Kim is batting .346 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- sixth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Justin Steele has thrown his slider 34% of the time since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 142 total SL-- 90th Percentile.
Luis Arraez has a miss rate of only 5% on inside fastballs since last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Justin Steele has located his fastball inside 43% of the time since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP-- 95th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents are hitting .467 (7-for-15) against Yu Darvish's elevated fastball this season -- tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .211 -- first Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (219/472) when behind in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,415/3,286) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.
Padres vs. Cubs Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Cubs are 14-11 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Cubs' 21 last games at home
Padres vs. Cubs Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Cubs vs. Padres Injury Updates
Cubs Injuries
Dansby Swanson
IFSwanson is out with knee
Out
Nico Hoerner
IFHoerner is day-to-day with hamstring
Day-to-Day
Padres Injuries
Joe Musgrove
PMusgrove is out with elbow
Out
Jake Cronenworth
IFCronenworth is day-to-day with calf
Day-to-Day
Tucupita Marcano
IFMarcano is out with knee
Out
Padres vs. Cubs Box Score
Padres Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RY.Darvish, P | 83 | 5 | 5 | 0 | |
| LY.Matsui, P | 16 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
| RE.De Los Santos, P | 24 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| LW.Peralta, P | 12 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
| RJ.Estrada, P | 16 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RR.Suarez, P | 20 | 1.2 | 3 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1L.Arraez, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2F.Tatis, RF | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3J.Cronenworth, 1B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4J.Profar, LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 4J.Azocar, LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5X.Bogaerts, 2B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6D.Solano, 3B | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6T.Wade, PR | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6T.Wade, 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7H.Kim, SS | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8L.Campusano, C | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 9J.Merrill, CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ.Steele, P | 68 | 4.2 | 2 | 0 | |
| LR.Lovelady, P | 14 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | |
| RD.Palencia, P | 23 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| RC.Brewer, P | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| RA.Alzolay, P | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1N.Hoerner, 2B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2M.Tauchman, RF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3I.Happ, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4C.Morel, DH | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 5M.Busch, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5P.Wisdom, PH | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5P.Wisdom, 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6D.Swanson, SS | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7N.Madrigal, 3B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9Y.Gomes, C | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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Padres vs. Cubs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Padres 23-24 | N/A | N/A |
Cubs 25-21 | N/A | N/A |