Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2024

Padres at Diamondbacks

12:10 am • ARID

San Diego Padres

46-40

13 - 1

Arizona Diamondbacks

43-43

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			4.71	11-10
M.King			2.95	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 46-40	-1.5	-1.5+160	o8.5-119	+100
Diamondbacks 43-43	u9	+1.5-192	u8.5-101	-120

Sunday 12:10 a.m.

May 05, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

SD +105

2.1u

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

... low humidity over less than 9.5 game 1 or 2 Overall: 488-319-24,60% (ROI:17%) Season:1-3-0,25% (ROI:-51%)

B.Pfaadt u5.5 Ks-142

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

ARI -120

0.6u

Superbook. Bet to -130

ARI -114 (F5)

0.57u

Bet to -130

Featured Insight
Padres left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks RPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have scored 3.4 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- second highest in MLB (32 games). The Padres have allowed 3.0 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- third highest in MLB (34 games).

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The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is slugging .542 on non-fastballs this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a SLG of .500 non-fastballs this season -- tied for fifth worst among qualified SPs-- seventh Percentile.

Luis Campusano is batting .375 with RISP this season -- 15th best among hitters with at least 45 total PA's-- 89th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Brandon Pfaadt with RISP this season -- tied for eighth worst among qualified SPs-- 16th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 22-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Diamondbacks' 44 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	42-43	20-24	22-19	25-33	17-10
Padres	45-41	21-18	24-23	21-23	24-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	45-37-3	22-19-3	23-18	32-23-3	13-14
Padres	34-48-4	15-23-1	19-25-3	21-21-2	13-27-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	43-43	22-22	21-20	30-28	13-14
Padres	46-40	25-14	21-26	27-17	19-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	SD	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 9	SD -102
May 2nd	LAD	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD +120
May 1st	LAD	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI -105
Apr 30th	LAD	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 10	LAD +120
Apr 28th	@SEA	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 6.5	ARI +120

Anthony DeSclafani
SP
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Josh Naylor
1B
Josh Naylor has been scratched Tuesday.
Out
Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out
Corbin Carroll
RF
Carroll is out with wrist
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Michael King
SP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	91	6	3	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	11	1	0	0
LA.Morejon, P	20	1	3	0
RS.Kolek, P	26	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	4-6	2	0	1
2F.Tatis, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2T.Wade, LF	1-1	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-6	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	2-4	1	0	3
4E.Rosario, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4E.Rosario, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Profar, LF	3-4	2	1	2
5J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Azocar, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, 2B	1-5	2	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	2-4	2	0	1
8L.Campusano, C	1-4	2	0	2
9H.Kim, SS	1-5	1	1	4

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	89	6	4	3
LB.Hughes, P	18	0.1	0	4
RB.Jarvis, P	35	1.2	1	2
RS.McGough, P	22	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.McCarthy, RF	1-3	0	0
1J.McCarthy, LF	1-3	0	0
2L.Gurriel, LF	1-3	0	0
2R.Grichuk, RF	0-1	0	0
3K.Marte, 2B	1-3	0	0
3P.Smith, 1B	0-1	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	0	0
4K.Newman, 2B	1-1	1	0
5J.Pederson, DH	0-4	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-3	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	2-4	0	1
8C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0
9B.Alexander, SS	0-3	0	0