Padres vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Padres at Dodgers

11:10 pm • ESPN

San Diego Padres

1-2

6 - 3

Los Angeles Dodgers

13-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Paxton			4.09	1-1
Y.Darvish			3.31	7-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 1-2	+1.5-149	o8.5-111	+137
Dodgers 13-4	-1.5+124	u8.5-109	-163

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

April 14, 2024

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.5u

SD +175 (Live)

3.5u

Under 8.5-108

$30.00

F.Freeman o0.5 HR+450

0.42u

Squad ride on Telegram

J.Paxton u4.5 Ks+114

0.57u

Ballpark pal projects 3.76 Ks and +ev with devig odds of -107 giving us value at this number

Under 8.5-110

LAD -130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -130

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-113

0.57u

SD +0.5 (F5)-125

1.88u

Under 9-110

0.55u

Bet to 8.5 (-107)

Featured Insight
Padres hitters have an OPS of .762 over the last week -- eighth best in MLB. Dodgers RPs have allowed an OPS of .690 (88 PAs) over the last week -- ninth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Dodgers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since the 2022 season -- tied for second lowest in MLB (213 games). The Padres have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB (200 games).

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Padres vs. Dodgers: Target The First Five Innings Over/Under
Doug Ziefel•
Apr 14, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Dabbundo's MLB Bets for Sunday
Anthony Dabbundo•
Apr 14, 2024 UTC

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33% of Fernando Tatis Jr. strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- sixth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 45% of James Paxton's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Mookie Betts has an OPS of .947 since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Andres Machado has allowed an OPS of .779 (468 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 14th worst among qualified RPs-- eighth Percentile.

James Paxton has an average spin rate of 1923.0 RPM on curveballs since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 2515.4 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (12/17) against Yu Darvish with two-strikes this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (10/20) against Yu Darvish when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

James Paxton allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (32 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 -- third Percentile.

The Dodgers are 50-18 (.735) after a loss since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .490.

The Dodgers are 60-31 (.659) at home since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Padres are just 1-74 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

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MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Dodgers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	73-89	37-44	36-45	61-82	12-7
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	74-80-8	40-35-6	34-45-2	64-71-8	10-9
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	93-69	52-29	41-40	83-60	10-9
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	SD	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	LAD -219
Apr 13th	SD	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -205
Apr 10th	@MIN	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN -170
Apr 9th	@MIN	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	LAD -188
Apr 8th	@MIN	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	LAD -135

Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
SP
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Roki Sasaki
SP
Sasaki is out with shoulder
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Darvish, P	92	5	2	3
RE.De Los Santos, P	12	0.2	0	0
LY.Matsui, P	15	1.1	1	0
LW.Peralta, P	8	1	0	0
RR.Suarez, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Bogaerts, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-3	1	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	2-4	2	1	1
5J.Profar, LF	1-3	1	0	3
5J.Azocar, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6H.Kim, SS	0-1	0	0	0
7L.Campusano, C	0-5	0	0	0
8J.Merrill, CF	3-4	0	0	1
9E.Rosario, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9T.Wade, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Wade, 3B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Paxton, P	95	5	1	3
RR.Brasier, P	12	1	0	0
RJ.Feyereisen, P	20	0.1	0	3
LA.Vesia, P	21	1.2	2	0
LN.Ramirez, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Ohtani, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Freeman, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4W.Smith, C	2-3	1	0	1
5M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
6T.Hernandez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Outman, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Hernandez, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Lux, 2B	0-3	0	0	0