Padres vs Marlins Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 25, 2026

Padres at Marlins

8:10 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

81-68

7 - 2

Miami Marlins

74-76

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Perez			3.99	7-11
R.Vasquez			3.95	10-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 81-68	+1.5	+1.5-173	o8-110	+123
Marlins 74-76	u8.5	-1.5+151	u8-110	-149

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

July 25, 2026

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -160 (Live)

1.6u

MIA -138

2.07u

E.Perez u5.5 Ks+140

1.4u

THE BAT X is forecasting 5.37 strikeouts for Eury Perez compared to 6.14 strikeouts implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 55% of the time, resulting in a 32% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $31.62. This play is good down to at least +101. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

MIA -130

H.Hernandez o0.5 HR+350

0.1u

E.Perez o16.5 Outs-145

MIA -132

1.32u

SD +115

1.15u

MIA -135

Article going up, play to -160

Paul's Pick for Padres-Marlins
Sean Paul•
Jul 25, 2026 UTC
The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown and Bets for Saturday
Matt Trollo•
Jul 25, 2026 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 33-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Marlins' 78 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	70-80	37-41	33-39	31-37	39-41
Padres	84-65	42-33	42-32	36-37	48-28

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	76-71-3	36-42	40-29-3	31-37	44-33-3
Padres	67-79-3	31-41-3	36-38	29-41-3	38-38

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	74-76	45-33	29-43	41-27	33-47
Padres	81-68	46-29	35-39	44-29	37-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	SD	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 9	SD -125
Jul 23rd	@HOU	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8	HOU -110
Jul 22nd	@HOU	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 9	HOU +106
Jul 21st	@HOU	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 9	HOU +106
Jul 19th	@MIL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8	MIL +110

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out

Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	37	2.2	0	1
LJ.Sears, P	55	3.1	3	0
LY.Matsui, P	12	1	1	0
RM.Waldron, P	39	2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Tatis, DH	0-4	1	0
2J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-3	2	1
3M.Machado, 3B	1-5	1	0
4T.France, 1B	2-4	1	3
5J.Merrill, CF	3-4	2	0
6L.Rengifo, LF	1-3	0	0
7G.Sheets, RF	0-2	0	1
7J.Bowen, RF	1-1	0	2
8X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	0	0
9F.Fermin, C	1-3	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Perez, P		104	7	2	3
LD.Fulton, P		49	2	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Lopez, SS	1-2	0	1
2K.Stowers, 1B	1-3	0	1
3H.Hernandez, LF	0-4	0	0
4X.Edwards, 2B	0-4	0	0
5L.Hicks, C	0-4	0	0
6J.Sanoja, 3B	0-4	0	0
7G.Conine, DH	0-3	0	0
8E.Ruiz, RF	2-2	2	0
9J.Marsee, CF	1-2	0	0