Padres vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2025

Padres at Pirates

10:40 pm • Apple TV+

San Diego Padres

32-25

9 - 4

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.18	6-15
D.Cease			4.55	8-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 32-25	-1.5	-1.5+125	o8-118	-135
Pirates 31-28	u7.5	+1.5-150	u8-104	+114

Friday 10:40 p.m.

May 02, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

D.Cease u2.5 Earned Runs-155

PIT +130 (F5)

0.5u

PIT +130 (F5)

PIT +1.5-120

Pirates hit better at home – 3.79 runs/game, .305 OBP in Pittsburgh. Cease unraveling – 5.76 ERA, 4 BBs last start, shaky command. Keller keeping games close – outperforming his record at home. Cease struggling for SD – 5.76 ERA, season-high 4 BBs last outing. Pirates 4 wins in last 9, trending better offensively. Keller better than his 1-2 record – keeps games close, limits damage. Pirates more competitive when he starts at home. Cease’s control issues linger – Pirates can work counts, get on base. Padres away win rate just .417 – not the same team outside Petco. Bullpen edge not as sharp lately for Padres. Home crowd, familiar dimensions give PIT boost. Pirates have done well as home dogs – matchup suits them. SD’s inconsistencies + Pirates trending up = value on the +1.5 line.

SD -155

$1.00

O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.00

SD o4.5 Team Total+104

1.04u

SD o4.5 Team Total+105

$1.05

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases-140

$2.80

F.Tatis o0.5 HR+320

$1.00

M.Machado o0.5 HR+500

0.1u

Day 1

Over 8+105

1.05u

prefer this over some juiced 7.5’s being offered, good to 8 -120

Over 8+105

0.53u

Bet to -108

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Padres	32-25	18-14	14-11	15-14	17-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Padres	24-32-1	12-19-1	12-13	11-17-1	13-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Padres	32-25	16-16	16-9	16-13	16-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	CHC	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 8	CHC -127
Apr 30th	CHC	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +148
Apr 29th	CHC	L 0-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC +128
Apr 27th	@LAD	L 2-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +277
Apr 27th	@LAD	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 9	LAD +225

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	91	4	3	2
LW.Peralta, P	16	0.2	1	1
RA.Jacob, P	21	0.2	1	1
LY.Matsui, P	8	0.2	0	0
RJ.Estrada, P	15	1	3	0
LA.Morejon, P	11	1	0	0
RR.Bergert, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	0-0	0	0	0
1O.Gonzalez, PR	1-2	1	0	0
1O.Gonzalez, RF	1-2	1	0	0
1B.Lockridge, LF	1-1	1	0	1
2L.Arraez, 1B	3-5	1	0	3
3M.Machado, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4G.Sheets, DH	3-5	1	1	2
5X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	2	0	0
6J.Iglesias, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Wade, CF	2-4	1	0	1
8J.Heyward, LF	1-4	1	0	1
8J.Heyward, RF	1-4	1	0	1
9M.Maldonado, C	1-3	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	88	5	3	4
LR.Borucki, P	28	1.1	2	0
RC.Shugart, P	14	1	1	0
LC.Ferguson, P	19	0.1	1	3
RC.Holderman, P	24	1.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	0-3	2	0	0
2B.Reynolds, RF	2-4	0	0	1
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4E.Valdez, 1B	0-5	0	0	1
4E.Valdez, 2B	0-5	0	0	1
5J.Bart, C	0-3	1	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	1-2	1	1	1
7M.Gorski, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Gorski, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Canario, LF	1-3	0	0	1
9J.Triolo, SS	1-4	0	0	0