Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 15, 2026

Phillies at Pirates

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH
11 - 9
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Braxton Ashcraft logoB.AshcraftPittsburgh Pirates logo3.6813-5
Aaron Nola logoA.NolaPhiladelphia Phillies logo5.125-9

Phillies at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies
73-58
+1.5
+1.5-191
o8.5-109
+115
Pirates
63-69
u8.5
-1.5+155
u8.5-113
-135
location pinFriday 10:40 p.m.
May 15, 2026
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Phillies vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 19-28-1 (-0.0u)
PHI +113
1.91u
📚Onyx
PHI +113
3.39u
📚Onyx
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 208-180-4 (+12.0u)
Under 8-103
1.5u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 44-54-2 (-13.5u)
PIT -130
1.3u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 81-69-0 (+1.1u)
PHI +122
1.22u
John Feltman
John Feltman
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (+0.4u)
PIT -135 (F5)
0.5u
Payoff Pitch Podcast
Payoff Pitch Podcast
Last 30d: 43-53-1 (+8.0u)
B.Ashcraft u17.5 Outs+115
0.5u
@DerekCarty ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/TknUen2fa3b
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 18-33-6 (-3.6u)
B.Harper Over0.5 Hitter Walks+182
1u
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.66 walks for Bryce Harper. Oddsmakers are implying 0.42 walks, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 48% of the time resulting in a 37% ROI with expected value of $36.63 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +127. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
B.Marsh Over0.5 Hitter Walks+300
1u
There may be some value on Brandon Marsh's walks prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.45 walks, and oddsmakers are implying 0.28. The model believes there is a 37% chance he records at least 1 walk, so there is value on the over at +300. This play is good down to at least +197. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
Matt DiLeo
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 63-47-0 (+5.2u)
B.Ashcraft o5.5 Ks-120
1u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 35-27-2 (+5.4u)
B.Ashcraft o1.5 BB+140
0.71u
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 111-127-7 (-10.4u)
A.Nola o5.5 Ks+114
0.44u
RoyalsProps
RoyalsProps
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
R.O'Hearn o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
1.15u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 408-427-13 (-12.7u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-125
1.25u

Phillies vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis

  • Feltman's Phillies vs Pirates Pick for Friday Night article feature image

    Feltman's Phillies vs Pirates Pick for Friday Night

    John Feltman
    May 15, 2026 UTC
  • Adam Trigger's Triple-A Picks For Friday article feature image

    Adam Trigger's Triple-A Picks For Friday

    Adam Trigger
    May 15, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Phillies vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Phillies

Public

28%

Bets%

72%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
65-6732-3433-3333-3531-30
Phillies
53-7828-4025-3845-548-24

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
72-56-442-23-130-33-341-26-129-29-3
Phillies
60-65-636-29-324-36-350-44-510-21-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
63-6934-3229-3737-3125-36
Phillies
73-5838-3035-2863-3610-22

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 14thCOLW 7-2-1.5 WO 7.5PIT -177
May 13thCOLL 4-10-1.5 LO 8.5COL -185
May 12thCOLW 3-1-1.5 WU 7.5PIT -294
May 10th@SFL 6-7+1.5 WO 8SF +105
May 10th@SFW 13-3-1.5 WO 7.5PIT -110

Pirates vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries

    Phillies Injuries

    • Max Lazar
      RP

      Lazar is out with oblique

      Out

    • Andrew Painter
      SP

      Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.

      Questionable

    Phillies vs. Pirates Box Score
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Aaron Nola logoRA.Nola, P803.226
    Tim Mayza logoLT.Mayza, P171.121
    Jonathan Bowlan logoRJ.Bowlan, P21120
    Chase Shugart logoRC.Shugart, P35210
    Jose Alvarado logoLJ.Alvarado, P22130
    Orion Kerkering logoRO.Kerkering, P18110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Trea Turner logo1T.Turner, SS1-6200
    Kyle Schwarber logo2K.Schwarber, DH3-5225
    Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B4-5102
    Alec Bohm logo4A.Bohm, 3B1-5100
    Brandon Marsh logo5B.Marsh, RF1-5101
    Brandon Marsh logo5B.Marsh, LF1-5101
    Bryson Stott logo6B.Stott, 2B1-4101
    Edmundo Sosa logo7E.Sosa, LF0-4100
    Rafael Marchan logo7R.Marchan, C1-1002
    Justin Crawford logo8J.Crawford, CF2-5000
    Garrett Stubbs logo9G.Stubbs, C0-1100
    Adolis Garcia logo9A.Garcia, PH0-1100
    Adolis Garcia logo9A.Garcia, RF0-1100
    Pirates Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Braxton Ashcraft logoRB.Ashcraft, P1006.254
    Mason Montgomery logoLM.Montgomery, P151.101
    Gregory Soto logoLG.Soto, P30102
    Dennis Santana logoRD.Santana, P18002
    Brandan Bidois logoRB.Bidois, P17120
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Oneil Cruz logo1O.Cruz, CF2-4102
    Brandon Lowe logo2B.Lowe, 2B2-5223
    Bryan Reynolds logo3B.Reynolds, LF2-5100
    Bryan Reynolds logo3B.Reynolds, RF2-5100
    Ryan O'Hearn logo4R.O'Hearn, RF0-4100
    Ryan O'Hearn logo4R.O'Hearn, 1B0-4100
    Marcell Ozuna logo5M.Ozuna, DH1-4112
    Spencer Horwitz logo6S.Horwitz, 1B2-4100
    Billy Cook logo6B.Cook, PR0-0000
    Billy Cook logo6B.Cook, LF0-0000
    Nick Gonzales logo6N.Gonzales, PH0-1000
    Konnor Griffin logo7K.Griffin, SS1-5101
    Endy Rodriguez logo8E.Rodriguez, C0-4100
    Jared Triolo logo9J.Triolo, 3B1-3000

    Phillies vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

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    Phillies at Pirates Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Phillies
    73-58
    N/A
    N/A
    Pirates
    63-69
    N/A
    N/A