Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 15, 2026

Phillies at Pirates

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

Pittsburgh Pirates

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ashcraft			2.77	2-2
A.Nola			5.14	2-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 21-23	+1.5	+1.5-187	o8-111	+114
Pirates 24-20	u8.5	-1.5+155	u8-110	-135

Friday 10:40 p.m.

May 15, 2026

PNC ParkPittsburgh

66°Fahrenheit

0%Rain

4Wind

B.Ashcraft u17.5 Outs+115

0.5u

@DerekCarty ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/TknUen2fa3b

B.Harper Over0.5 Hitter Walks+182

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.66 walks for Bryce Harper. Oddsmakers are implying 0.42 walks, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 48% of the time resulting in a 37% ROI with expected value of $36.63 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +127. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

B.Marsh Over0.5 Hitter Walks+300

There may be some value on Brandon Marsh's walks prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.45 walks, and oddsmakers are implying 0.28. The model believes there is a 37% chance he records at least 1 walk, so there is value on the over at +300. This play is good down to at least +197. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

B.Ashcraft o5.5 Ks-120

B.Ashcraft o1.5 BB+140

0.71u

A.Nola o5.5 Ks+114

0.44u

R.O'Hearn o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

1.15u

Under 4.5 (F5)-125

1.25u

Adam Trigger's Triple-A Picks For Friday
Adam Trigger•
May 15, 2026 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 12-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Pirates' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	25-19	13-10	12-9	15-10	9-9
Phillies	12-32	7-17	5-15	10-22	2-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	24-19-1	15-8	9-11-1	15-10	8-9-1
Phillies	22-20-2	14-9-1	8-11-1	19-12-1	3-8-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	24-20	13-10	11-10	16-9	7-11
Phillies	21-23	12-12	9-11	18-14	3-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	COL	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PIT -177
May 13th	COL	L 4-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	COL -185
May 12th	COL	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT -294
May 10th	@SF	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8	SF +105
May 10th	@SF	W 13-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PIT -110

Jake Mangum
LF
Jake Mangum scratched Thursday.
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RA.Nola, P		2-3	5.14	1.476	9.43

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1T.Turner, SS	.233	.284	.341	4
2K.Schwarber, DH	.226	.355	.610	18
3B.Harper, 1B	.266	.361	.525	10
4A.Garcia, RF	.222	.286	.348	4
5B.Marsh, LF	.340	.368	.486	4
6A.Bohm, 3B	.194	.256	.285	3
7B.Stott, 2B	.221	.266	.366	3
8J.Realmuto, C	.231	.290	.308	1
9J.Crawford, CF	.270	.341	.410	2

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RB.Ashcraft, P		2-2	2.77	1.048	9.43

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1O.Cruz, CF	.260	.325	.480	10
2B.Lowe, 2B	.247	.351	.527	10
3B.Reynolds, LF	.248	.389	.386	4
4R.O'Hearn, RF	.299	.375	.474	7
5N.Gonzales, 3B	.315	.380	.364	0
6K.Griffin, SS	.255	.316	.394	3
7S.Horwitz, 1B	.267	.384	.417	3
8M.Ozuna, DH	.186	.274	.300	4
9H.Davis, C	.151	.263	.256	2