Pirates vs Phillies Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - June 29, 2026

Pirates at Phillies

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

63-68

11 - 7

Philadelphia Phillies

72-58

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			5.12	5-9
B.Ashcraft			3.68	13-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 63-68	+1.5	+1.5-210	o9-105	-110
Phillies 72-58	u8.5	-1.5+175	u9-115	-112

Monday 10:40 p.m.

June 29, 2026

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PIT -105

B.Lowe o0.5 HR+284

0.1u

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

R.O'Hearn To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+460

B.Lowe To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+285

B.Reynolds To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+422

R.O'Hearn o0.5 HR+486

0.25u

Over 8.5-105

PIT o4.5+116

0.58u

(FD) Park + weather around 5% boost, see notes on PIT side/F5. Need about +110.

PIT -120 (F5)

0.5u

(FD - Would play to -130) This is a game I knew I would be on the minute I saw it, but I just didn’t think I’d find four separate bets. To be honest, I’m surprised the market is giving PIT as much credit as they are. However, I give Ashcraft (3.21 SIERA, 2.87 xeRA, 3.58 Bot ERA, 108 Piching+) a full run edge over Nola (3.95, 4.28, 3.87, 106). PIT has an 18 point wRC+ edge vs RHP. Proj. LU 22 pt edge vs RHP and 32 pt edge L30 days. Both defenses are below average, but PHI one of the worst. PIT has half run better bullpen estimators L30 days and a 20 team BARTOLO gap, but may be without some high leverage guys (Alvarado, Kerkering) due to usage.

PIT -102

0.5u

(FD - would play to -110) This is a game I knew I would be on the minute I saw it, but I just didn’t think I’d find four separate bets. To be honest, I’m surprised the market is giving PIT as much credit as they are. However, I give Ashcraft (3.21 SIERA, 2.87 xeRA, 3.58 Bot ERA, 108 Piching+) a full run edge over Nola (3.95, 4.28, 3.87, 106). PIT has an 18 point wRC+ edge vs RHP. Proj. LU 22 pt edge vs RHP and 32 pt edge L30 days. Both defenses are below average, but PHI one of the worst. PIT has half run better bullpen estimators L30 days and a 20 team BARTOLO gap, but may be without some high leverage guys (Alvarado, Kerkering) due to usage.

B.Ashcraft o5.5 Ks-144

0.5u

(FD) 31.6 K% (14.7 SwStr%) L30 days. 31.2 K% vs LHBs 2026, proj. him to face 16 in LU weighted avg 22.5 K% v RHP. Also 2-5% park boost before umpire.

+8989 Park Factor Home Run Parlay
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 25-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Phillies' 67 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	52-78	27-40	25-38	44-54	8-24
Pirates	65-66	32-34	33-32	33-35	31-29

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	59-65-6	35-29-3	24-36-3	49-44-5	10-21-1
Pirates	72-55-4	42-23-1	30-32-3	41-26-1	29-28-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	72-58	37-30	35-28	62-36	10-22
Pirates	63-68	34-32	29-36	37-31	25-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	@NYM	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PHI -158
Jun 27th	@NYM	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 9	NYM +113
Jun 26th	@NYM	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PHI -158
Jun 25th	@WSH	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	PHI -180
Jun 24th	@WSH	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI -125

Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ashcraft, P	97	6	8	5
LE.Sisk, P	14	1	1	0
LG.Soto, P	20	0.2	1	2
RY.Ramirez, P	16	0.1	1	0
LM.Montgomery, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Griffin, DH	2-5	1	0	0
2B.Lowe, 2B	0-4	0	0	1
3B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	2	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	2-5	2	0	1
5E.Valdez, RF	2-3	2	1	2
5B.Cook, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5B.Cook, CF	0-0	1	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	2-3	1	1	4
7T.Callihan, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
7N.Gonzales, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7N.Gonzales, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Triolo, SS	1-4	1	1	1
9J.Mangum, CF	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Mangum, RF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	86	4.1	5	7
RS.Johnson, P	24	1.2	4	0
LT.Mayza, P	35	2	2	0
RC.Shugart, P	24	1	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	2-5	2	1	1
2K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0	1
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
4B.Marsh, LF	2-5	2	2	2
5A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	1-3	0	0	1
8G.Rincones, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8D.Hill, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Hill, RF	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Crawford, CF	2-4	1	0	0