PIT @ BOS
11:10 pm • NESNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 4.25 | 9-9 | |
![]() | ![]() | 6.59 | 3-7 |
Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Pirates 74-84 | +1.5 | +1.5-161 | o9-100 | +129 |
![]() Red Sox 76-82 | u9.5 | -1.5+132 | u9-120 | -153 |

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Pirates vs. Red Sox Game Analysis
Pirates vs. Red Sox Notes
Keys to the Game
The Pirates were just 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Matchup Contrasts
Ke'Bryan Hayes slugged just .276 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Nick Pivetta threw a breaking pitch 47% of the time last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.
81% of non-fastball strikeouts for Christian Arroyo were located out of the zone last season -- tied for 14th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. 77% of Roansy Contreras non-fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 94th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents had a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (32/59) against Roansy Contreras on elevated fastballs in 2022 -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% -- second Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 16% (21/128) versus Roansy Contreras on breaking pitches in 2022 -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 96th Percentile.
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Pirates vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
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Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 39-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home
Pirates vs. Red Sox Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Pirates vs. Red Sox Injury Updates
Pirates Injuries
Andrew McCutchen
DHMcCutchen is out with achilles
Out
Jarlin Garcia
RPGarcia is out with biceps
Out
Vince Velasquez
SPVelasquez is out with elbow
Out
Angel Perdomo
RPPerdomo is out with elbow
Out
Oneil Cruz
SSONeil Cruz (ankle) to be placed on 10 day IL
Out
JT Brubaker
SPBrubaker is out with arm
Out
Tucupita Marcano
SSMarcano is out with knee
Out
Bailey Falter
SPFalter is out with neck
Out
Colin Holderman
RPHolderman is out with thumb
Out
Red Sox Injuries
Adalberto Mondesi
SSMondesi is out with knee
Out
Corey Kluber
SPKluber is out with shoulder
Out
James Paxton
SPPaxton is out with knee
Out
Kenley Jansen
RPJansen is out with covid protocols
Out
Joely Rodriguez
RPRodriguez is out with hip
Out
Luis Urias
2BUrias is out with calf
Out
Wyatt Mills
RPMills is out with elbow
Out
Triston Casas
1BCasas is out with shoulder
Out
Jarren Duran
CFDuran is out with toe
Out
Kaleb Ort
RPOrt is out with elbow
Out
Pirates vs. Red Sox Box Score
Pirates Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RR.Contreras, P | 78 | 5.2 | 2 | 1 | |
RD.Moreta, P | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
LJ.Hernandez, P | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
RC.Holderman, P | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RD.Bednar, P | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1O.Cruz, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2B.Reynolds, CF | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
2B.Reynolds, LF | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
3A.McCutchen, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4C.Santana, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5J.Choi, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6K.Hayes, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7C.Smith-Njigba, LF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7R.Castro, 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Bae, 2B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
8J.Bae, CF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
9T.Heineman, C | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN.Pivetta, P | 87 | 5 | 6 | 1 | |
RJ.Winckowski, P | 51 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
RR.Brasier, P | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1A.Verdugo, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2R.Devers, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Turner, DH | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4M.Yoshida, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5A.Duvall, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6T.Casas, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7K.Hernandez, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8R.McGuire, C | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9Y. Chang, 2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9R.Tapia, PH | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C. Arroyo, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C. Arroyo, 2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Pirates vs. Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Pirates 74-84 | o3.5-145 | u3.5112 |
![]() Red Sox 76-82 | o4.5-122 | u4.5-107 |
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