Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 4, 2023

Pirates at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Pittsburgh Pirates

11-19

4 - 1

Boston Red Sox

17-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.04	10-9
R.Contreras			6.59	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 11-19	+1.5-161	o9+100	+129
Red Sox 17-14	-1.5+132	u9-120	-153

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

April 04, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 8.5-107

1.07u

Under 9-120

Under 9-121

Under 9-120

Under 5 (F5)-120

0.83u

A.Verdugo o0.5 HR+925

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Taking each HR bet I like and adding Double prop to each. All for 0.1U.

A.Verdugo o0.5 Doubles+290

0.1u

Bet at FanDuel. Taking each HR bet I like and adding Double prop to each. All for 0.1U.

PIT +122

1.22u

Under 9-109

0.92u

Under 9.5-115

cashed out my 9 bc i found this

Under 5.5 (F5)-144

0.5u

Bet to -160 or 5 (-120) at DK

Under 9.5-125

0.4u

Flat risk to -135 or to 9 (-114)

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 4, 2023 UTC
Dinger Tuesday: Cruz, Walker Highlight Best Value Picks
Anthony Dabbundo•
Apr 4, 2023 UTC
MLB Tuesday Betting Preview & Best Bets | Payoff Pitch Podcast
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 4, 2023 UTC
Tuesday's MLB Props: Offensive Stars Set to Shine
Alex Hinton•
Apr 4, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Pirates were just 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

Ke'Bryan Hayes slugged just .276 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Nick Pivetta threw a breaking pitch 47% of the time last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

81% of non-fastball strikeouts for Christian Arroyo were located out of the zone last season -- tied for 14th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. 77% of Roansy Contreras non-fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (32/59) against Roansy Contreras on elevated fastballs in 2022 -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% -- second Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 16% (21/128) versus Roansy Contreras on breaking pitches in 2022 -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 96th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 10-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Red Sox' 14 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	16-15	6-8	10-7	12-12	4-3
Pirates	12-18	6-8	6-10	4-7	8-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	15-15-1	6-7-1	9-8	11-12-1	4-3
Pirates	13-15-2	8-5-1	5-10-1	5-6	8-9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	17-14	8-6	9-8	14-10	3-4
Pirates	11-19	6-8	5-11	5-6	6-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	PIT	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	PIT -154
Apr 2nd	BAL	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -140
Apr 1st	BAL	W 9-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -156
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 9	BAL -125
Mar 28th	ATL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL +107

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
2B
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Lucas Giolito
SP
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Contreras, P	78	5.2	2	1
RD.Moreta, P	22	1	1	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	4	0.1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	18	1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, CF	3-4	1	1	2
2B.Reynolds, LF	3-4	1	1	2
3A.McCutchen, RF	0-2	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J. Choi, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7C. Smith-Njigba, LF	0-4	1	0	0
7R.Castro, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8J.Bae, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
8J.Bae, CF	1-4	1	1	2
9T.Heineman, C	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	87	5	6	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	51	3	3	1
RR.Brasier, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	1	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	0-4	0	1
5A.Duvall, CF	0-4	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	0-4	0	0
7E.Hernandez, SS	0-4	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	2-3	0	0
9Y. Chang, 2B	0-2	0	0
9R. Tapia, PH	0-0	0	0
9C. Arroyo, PH	0-1	0	0
9C. Arroyo, 2B	0-1	0	0