Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - August 10, 2026

Red Sox at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • NESN
1 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Jameson Taillon logoJ.TaillonToronto Blue Jays logo3.600-0
Sonny Gray logoS.GrayBoston Red Sox logo2.7617-5

Red Sox at Blue Jays Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
81-68
-1.5
-1.5+104
o8-117
-159
Blue Jays
74-75
u8
+1.5-125
u8-102
+144
location pinMonday 11:07 p.m.
August 10, 2026
Rogers CentreToronto
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 51-47-1 (+0.4u)
BOS -1.5+118
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 92-77-1 (+2.0u)
BOS -150
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 26-28-1 (+0.7u)
Over 8.5+106
1u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
Last 30d: 84-158-4 (+1.3u)
W.Contreras o0.5 HR+380
0.25u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 35-111-2 (+16.7u)
W.Contreras o0.5 HR+382
0.25u
W.Abreu o0.5 HR+350
0.25u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 93-75-0 (+63.4u)
TOR +1.5-113
2.65u
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 18-37-1 (-7.1u)
S.Gray u17.5 Outs+185
1u
There may be some value on Sonny Gray's pitching outs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 16.57 pitching outs, and oddsmakers are implying 18.80. The model believes there is a 55% chance he records fewer than 18 pitching outs. If you can get the under at +185 or better there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +101. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 229-186-3 (+29.5u)
BOS -1.5+110
1u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 259-298-6 (-28.6u)
W.Abreu o0.5 HR+323
0.1u
S.Gray u4.5 Ks-108
1u
S.Gray u4.5 Ks-108
1u
J.Taillon o15.5 Outs+124
0.81u
J.Taillon o15.5 Outs+124
0.81u
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 96-117-1 (-20.1u)
TOR +149
1.49u
TOR +1.5-120
0.83u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 259-298-6 (-28.6u)
BOS -1.5+109
0.92u
BOS o4.5-115
1.15u
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 56-70-3 (-15.0u)
BOS -155
0.78u
(B365) Gray 3.83 SIERA/3.68 xERA (6.4% Barrels/BBE)/101 Pitching+, Taillon 4.50/6.03 (15.2%)/97 – TOR proj, LU avg 107/100/93 wRC+ Hm/vRHP/L30 days, BOS 114/105/131 – comparable defenses – BOS proj. 6 BRR edge – BOS pen estimators nearly a full run better L30 days (19 team gap rank via BARTOLO) (Splitting w/ F5)
BOS -156 (F5)
0.78u
(FD) Gray 3.83 SIERA/3.68 xERA (6.4% Barrels/BBE)/101 Pitching+, Taillon 4.50/6.03 (15.2%)/97 – TOR proj, LU avg 107/100/93 wRC+ Hm/vRHP/L30 days, BOS 114/105/131 – comparable defenses – BOS proj. 6 BRR edge – BOS pen estimators nearly a full run better L30 days (19 team gap rank via BARTOLO) (Splitting w/ full game)
Anthony Dabbundo
Anthony Dabbundo
Last 30d: 32-33-2 (+6.1u)
BOS -150
1.5u

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Previews & Analysis

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  • Ianniello's Pick for Red Sox vs Blue Jays article feature image

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Red Sox

Public

83%

Bets%

17%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Blue Jays
72-7736-3836-3937-3933-36
Red Sox
71-7832-4239-3647-5923-19

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Blue Jays
74-71-436-36-238-35-240-33-332-36-1
Red Sox
69-76-434-37-335-39-150-53-319-22-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Blue Jays
74-7538-3636-3941-3530-39
Red Sox
81-6837-3744-3158-4822-20

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 9th@PHIL 6-7+1.5 WO 8.5PHI +211
Aug 8th@PHIW 7-5+1.5 WO 9.5TOR +156
Aug 7th@PHIW 5-4+1.5 WO 7.5TOR +182
Aug 6th@CHCL 2-3-1.5 LU 7.5CHC -104
Aug 5th@HOUW 5-4+1.5 WO 8TOR +197

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Blue Jays Injuries

  • Jose Berrios
    SP

    Berrios is out with elbow

    Out

  • Anthony Santander
    RF

    Santander is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Bowden Francis
    SP

    Francis is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Addison Barger
    RF

    Addison Barger (elbow) scratched Sunday.

    Out

Red Sox Injuries

  • Tanner Houck
    SP

    Houck is out with arm

    Out

  • Triston Casas
    1B

    Casas is out with knee

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford
    SP

    Crawford is out with wrist

    Out

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Sonny Gray logoRS.Gray, P99642
Jovani Moran logoLJ.Moran, P28210
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Nick Sogard logo1N.Sogard, SS1-4000
Ceddanne Rafaela logo2C.Rafaela, CF2-3001
Wilyer Abreu logo3W.Abreu, RF0-3000
Willson Contreras logo4W.Contreras, 1B0-3000
Masataka Yoshida logo5M.Yoshida, DH0-2000
Eli White logo5E.White, PR0-0000
Eli White logo5E.White, DH0-0000
Caleb Durbin logo6C.Durbin, 3B0-4000
Jarren Duran logo7J.Duran, LF1-4000
Anthony Seigler logo8A.Seigler, 2B1-3100
Connor Wong logo9C.Wong, C1-3000
Andruw Monasterio logo9A.Monasterio, PH0-1000
Blue Jays Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Jameson Taillon logoRJ.Taillon, P61430
Simeon Woods Richardson logoRS.Woods Richardson, P45321
Tyler Rogers logoRT.Rogers, P18110
Louis Varland logoRL.Varland, P15110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Nathan Lukes logo1N.Lukes, RF0-4000
Brett Bateman logo2B.Bateman, CF1-4000
Vladimir Guerrero logo3V.Guerrero, 1B1-4000
George Springer logo4G.Springer, DH1-4100
Jesus Sanchez logo5J.Sanchez, LF0-2000
Myles Straw logo5M.Straw, LF0-1000
Andres Gimenez logo6A.Gimenez, SS1-4001
Charles McAdoo logo7C.McAdoo, 3B1-2111
Ernie Clement logo7E.Clement, 2B0-1000
Josh Smith logo8J.Smith, 2B1-3000
Josh Smith logo8J.Smith, 3B1-3000
Brandon Valenzuela logo9B.Valenzuela, C1-3000

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Blue Jays Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
81-68
N/A
N/A
Blue Jays
74-75
N/A
N/A