We're starting the week with 10 games on Monday's slate and lots of great spots to bet on. That means I'm bringing you some bangers for tonight's MLB action.
Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:07 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
| 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick
This is an incredible spot, and these odds are too high.
Blue Jays starter Jameson Taillon has been a complete gas can this season, allowing a massive 3.15 HR/9 to lefties.
This ballpark is a big upgrade from Fenway, and Wilyer Abreu has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball recently.
I have the true odds for the Red Sox RF under +300.
Pick: Wilyer Abreu Home Run
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Orioles vs Twins Prediction, Pick
This is a good spot, and these odds are a bit too high.
Twins SP Dean Kremer has historically been better vs. righties, but he's looked completely off to both sides of the plate this season (a massive 2.76 HR/9 to righties).
While he's due for some positive regression, the fly-ball rate is high, and he grades out as a plus matchup for righty power.
I have the true odds for Orioles 1B Pete Alonso at around +320.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
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Rays vs Athletics Prediction, Pick
These odds are low, but they aren't low enough given the spot.
Athletics starter Jacob Lopez is a gas can for righty power, allowing a 1.71 HR/9 in his career and a 1.84 HR/9 this season.
This ballpark is a massive upgrade for Junior Caminero and one of the best in the league for power. The weather should be great for hitting, with temperatures in the high-80s and wind blowing out at 9 mph.
I have the true odds for the Rays 3B at around +180.
Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run
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Rays vs Athletics Prediction, Pick
This is a good spot, and these odds are way too high.
Rays SP Freddy Peralta has had an off-season and has struggled heavily with lefty power, allowing a high 1.78 HR/9.
This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather should be great for hitting, with temperatures in the high-80s and wind blowing out at 9 mph.
I have the true odds for A's LF Tyler Soderstrom at around +300.
Pick: Tyler Soderstrom Home Run
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